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Premier League

Referee: Martin Atkinson

Norwich

U S S T S

2–3

Full-time

Chelsea

U S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Norwich Chelsea

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,8

2,5

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,2

This season — Premier League · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,5

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

4,5

3,0

Scored

2,0

0,5

Conceded

2,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

46% Possession 54%

6 Shots 23

5 Shots on target 8

0 Blocked shots 10

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

1 Corners 8

9 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Norwich 11. · Chelsea 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Man City	2	1	1	0	+5	4
4	Man United	2	1	1	0	+4	4
5	Brighton	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Tottenham	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Bournemouth	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Sheffield United	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Everton	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Burnley	2	1	0	1	+2	3
11	Norwich	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Aston Villa	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Leicester	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Wolves	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Crystal Palace	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Chelsea	2	0	1	1	-4	1
17	West Ham	2	0	1	1	-5	1
18	Newcastle	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Southampton	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Watford	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man United	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Burnley	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Norwich	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Aston Villa	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Sheffield United	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Everton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Man City	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Bournemouth	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Brighton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Wolves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Chelsea	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Crystal Palace	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Leicester	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Watford	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Tottenham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Sheffield United	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	West Ham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Man United	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Leicester	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Wolves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Everton	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Crystal Palace	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Watford	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Aston Villa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Norwich	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Chelsea	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.