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Ligue 1
Referee: S Frappart
Angers
T T U S T
3–0
Full-time
Metz
T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Angers Metz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-1,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
5,0
2,5
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
3,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

37% Possession 63%
15 Shots 4
5 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 1
15 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Angers 11. · Metz 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lyon 2 2 0 0 +9 6
2 Nice 2 2 0 0 +2 6
3 Rennes 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Metz 2 1 1 0 +3 4
5 Reims 2 1 1 0 +2 4
6 St Etienne 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Toulouse 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Paris SG 2 1 0 1 +2 3
9 Amiens 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Lille 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Angers 2 1 0 1 -4 3
12 Brest 2 0 2 0 +0 2
13 Strasbourg 2 0 2 0 +0 2
14 Montpellier 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Nantes 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Bordeaux 2 0 1 1 -2 1
17 Marseille 2 0 1 1 -2 1
18 Dijon 2 0 0 2 -2 0
19 Nimes 2 0 0 2 -4 0
20 Monaco 2 0 0 2 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Angers Metz
1′
🟨 Stoppila Sunzu
1–0 F. El Melali
R. Aït Nouri
4′
2–0 B. Santamaría
P. Capelle
43′
Half-time 2–0
Stéphane Bahoken 🟨
53′
R. Alioui 🔁
↦ S. Bahoken
62′
67′
🔁 M. Gakpa
↦ R. Cohade
67′
🔁 F. Boulaya
↦ I. Niane
3–0 R. Alioui
P. Capelle
67′
C. Ninga 🔁
↦ F. El Melali
74′
75′
🟨 Fabien Centonze
V. Pajot 🔁
↦ B. Santamaría
76′
85′
🔁 T. Ambrose
↦ O. Nguette
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Angers

4-2-3-1
16 L. Butelle G
24 R. Thomas D
8 Ismaël Traoré D
25 A. Bamba D
2 R. Aït Nouri D
5 T. Mangani M
15 P. Capelle M
18 B. Santamaría M
27 Mathias Lage M
28 F. El Melali M
19 S. Bahoken F
Bench (7)
7 R. Alioui
21 C. Ninga
6 V. Pajot
30 D. Petković
11 W. Kanga
4 M. Pavlović
29 V. Manceau

Coach: S. Moulin

Metz

4-3-3
16 A. Oukidja G
21 J. Boye D
13 S. Sunzu D
17 T. Delaine D
18 F. Centonze D
24 R. Cohade M
5 V. Angban M
11 O. Nguette
4 K. N'Doram M
20 H. Diallo F
7 I. Niane F
Bench (7)
10 M. Gakpa
27 F. Boulaya
9 T. Ambrose
6 M. Fofana
1 P. Delecroix
19 H. Maïga
28 M. Cabit

Coach: V. Hognon

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,12
U
3,18
B
3,78
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,38
U2,5
1,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Frappart · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.