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Serie A
Referee: D Massa
Fiorentina
T T T T U
3–4
Full-time
Napoli
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Napoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
1,2
3,5
Scored
0,2
2,2
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

42% Possession 58%
10 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 6
9 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
21 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

9. Feb -19 Fiorentina – Napoli 0–0 15. Sep -18 Napoli – Fiorentina 1–0 29. Apr -18 Fiorentina – Napoli 3–0 10. Dec -17 Napoli – Fiorentina 0–0 20. May -17 Napoli – Fiorentina 4–1

Match report

Fiorentina Napoli
1–0 Erick Pulgar ⚽
9′
19′
🟨 José Callejón
19′
🟨 Allan
24′
🟨 Mário Rui
38′
⚽ Dries Mertens 1–1
Lorenzo Insigne
42′
⚽ Lorenzo Insigne 1–2
Half-time 2–2
2–2 Nikola Milenković ⚽
Erick Pulgar
51′
56′
⚽ José Callejón 2–3
Lorenzo Insigne
Kevin-Prince Boateng 🔁
↦ Dušan Vlahović
61′
3–3 Kevin-Prince Boateng ⚽
Gaetano Castrovilli
65′
67′
⚽ Lorenzo Insigne 3–4
José Callejón
71′
🔁 Faouzi Ghoulam
↦ Mário Rui
72′
🔁 Eljif Elmas
↦ Allan
Marco Benassi 🔁
↦ Milan Badelj
73′
Franck Ribéry 🔁
↦ Riccardo Sottil
78′
84′
🔁 Elseid Hysaj
↦ Dries Mertens
Germán Pezzella 🟨
90′
Kevin-Prince Boateng 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Piotr Zieliński
Full-time 3–4

Line-ups

Fiorentina

4-3-3
69 Bartłomiej Drągowski G
21 Pol Lirola D
4 Nikola Milenković D
20 Germán Pezzella D
23 Lorenzo Venuti D
78 Erick Pulgar M
5 Milan Badelj M
8 Gaetano Castrovilli M
11 Riccardo Sottil F
28 Dušan Vlahović F
25 Federico Chiesa F
Bench (12)
1 Pietro Terracciano
3 Cristiano Biraghi
17 Federico Ceccherini
93 Aleksa Terzić
6 Luca Ranieri
15 Sebastián Cristóforo
19 Tofol Montiel
7 Franck Ribéry
24 Marco Benassi
27 Szymon Żurkowski
10 Kevin-Prince Boateng
9 Giovanni Simeone

Coach: V. Montella

Napoli

4-4-1-1
1 Alex Meret G
22 Giovanni Di Lorenzo D
44 Konstantinos Manolas D
26 Kalidou Koulibaly D
6 Mário Rui D
7 José Callejón M
20 Piotr Zieliński M
5 Allan M
24 Lorenzo Insigne M
8 Fabián Ruiz F
14 Dries Mertens F
Bench (12)
25 David Ospina
27 Orestis Karnezis
21 Vlad Chiricheş
23 Elseid Hysaj
13 Sebastiano Luperto
19 Nikola Maksimović
31 Faouzi Ghoulam
2 Kévin Malcuit
12 Eljif Elmas
70 Gianluca Gaetano
9 Simone Verdi
34 Amin Younes

Coach: C. Ancelotti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,73
🔒
U
3,67
🔒
B ✓
1,76
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,78
🔒
U2,5
2,04
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Massa · 154 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.