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Premier League

Referee: Kevin Friend

Brighton

U U T S U

0–2

Full-time

Southampton

U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brighton Southampton

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,3

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,2

This season — Premier League · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

2,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

2,0

0,5

Conceded

0,5

2,5

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%

12 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 5

1 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brighton 5. · Southampton 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Man City	2	1	1	0	+5	4
4	Man United	2	1	1	0	+4	4
5	Brighton	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Tottenham	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Bournemouth	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Sheffield United	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Everton	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Chelsea	3	1	1	1	-3	4
11	Burnley	2	1	0	1	+2	3
12	Aston Villa	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Norwich	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Leicester	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Wolves	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Crystal Palace	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	West Ham	2	0	1	1	-5	1
18	Newcastle	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Southampton	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Watford	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man United	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Burnley	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Norwich	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Aston Villa	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Sheffield United	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Everton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Man City	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Bournemouth	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Brighton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Wolves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Chelsea	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Crystal Palace	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Leicester	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Watford	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Chelsea	2	1	0	1	-3	3
7	Tottenham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Sheffield United	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	West Ham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Man United	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Leicester	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Wolves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Everton	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Crystal Palace	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Watford	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Aston Villa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Norwich	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.