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Serie A
Referee: F Maresca
Parma
U U T S T
0–1
Full-time
Juventus
U U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Parma Juventus
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

38% Possession 62%
5 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 8
2 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Parma Juventus
21′
⚽ Giorgio Chiellini 0–1
Alex Sandro
Dejan Kulusevski 🟨
27′
Hernani 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–1
53′
🟨 Sami Khedira
Luca Siligardi 🔁
↦ Dejan Kulusevski
57′
63′
🔁 Adrien Rabiot
↦ Sami Khedira
71′
🔁 Juan Cuadrado
↦ Douglas Costa
Alberto Grassi 🔁
↦ Gastón Brugman
77′
83′
🔁 Federico Bernardeschi
↦ Gonzalo Higuaín
Yann Karamoh 🔁
↦ Antonino Barillà
85′
88′
🟨 Federico Bernardeschi
90′
🟨 Miralem Pjanić
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Parma

4-3-3
1 Luigi Sepe G
16 Vincent Laurini D
2 Simone Iacoponi D
22 Bruno Alves D
28 Riccardo Gagliolo D
10 Hernani M
15 Gastón Brugman M
17 Antonino Barillà M
44 Dejan Kulusevski F
9 Roberto Inglese F
27 Gervinho F
Bench (12)
34 Simone Colombi
3 Kastriot Dermaku
64 Giacomo Ricci
5 José Machín
33 Juraj Kucka
93 Mattia Sprocati
21 Matteo Scozzarella
8 Alberto Grassi
26 Luca Siligardi
7 Yann Karamoh
11 Andreas Cornelius
30 Fabio Ceravolo

Coach: R. D'Aversa

Juventus

4-3-3
1 Wojciech Szczęsny G
2 Mattia De Sciglio D
19 Leonardo Bonucci D
3 Giorgio Chiellini D
12 Alex Sandro D
6 Sami Khedira M
5 Miralem Pjanić M
14 Blaise Matuidi M
11 Douglas Costa F
21 Gonzalo Higuaín F
7 Cristiano Ronaldo F
Bench (12)
77 Gianluigi Buffon
31 Carlo Pinsoglio
13 Danilo
28 Merih Demiral
4 Matthijs De Ligt
25 Adrien Rabiot
33 Federico Bernardeschi
16 Juan Cuadrado
23 Emre Can
30 Rodrigo Bentancur
17 Mario Mandžukić
10 Paulo Dybala

Coach: M. Sarri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
10,41
U
5,13
B ✓
1,31
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
–
O2,5
1,74
U2,5 ✓
2,09
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

F Maresca · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.