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Premier League

Referee: Anthony Taylor

Liverpool

S S S S S

3–1

Full-time

Arsenal

T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Liverpool Arsenal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,7

2,8

Scored

3,0

1,3

Conceded

0,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+2,3

-0,2

This season — Premier League · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

4,0

2,0

Scored

3,0

1,5

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%

25 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 3

14 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 4

1 Offside 4

8 Free kicks against 5

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Liverpool 1. · Arsenal 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Leicester	3	1	2	0	+1	5
4	Man City	2	1	1	0	+5	4
5	Man United	3	1	1	1	+3	4
6	Tottenham	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Brighton	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	Bournemouth	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Sheffield United	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Crystal Palace	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Everton	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Chelsea	3	1	1	1	-3	4
13	West Ham	3	1	1	1	-3	4
14	Burnley	2	1	0	1	+2	3
15	Aston Villa	3	1	0	2	-1	3
16	Norwich	3	1	0	2	-2	3
17	Southampton	3	1	0	2	-2	3
18	Wolves	2	0	2	0	+0	2
19	Newcastle	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Watford	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man United	2	1	0	1	+3	3
2	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Burnley	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Norwich	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Aston Villa	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Everton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Sheffield United	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Man City	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Bournemouth	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Wolves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Chelsea	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Crystal Palace	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Leicester	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Brighton	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Watford	2	0	0	2	-5	0
20	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	West Ham	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Leicester	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Man City	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Crystal Palace	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Southampton	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Chelsea	2	1	0	1	-3	3
11	Tottenham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Sheffield United	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Man United	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Wolves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Everton	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Watford	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Aston Villa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Norwich	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.