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Super League

Referee: N Hänni

Basel

S U S S U

3–1

Full-time

Thun

T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel Thun

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,3

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

2,2

0,2

Conceded

0,3

2,3

Goal diff per game

+1,8

-2,2

This season — Super League · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 40%

70%

10%

Points per game

2,3

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

80%

40%

Both score Ø 45%

60%

30%

Average goals

3,2

2,6

Scored

2,4

0,7

Conceded

0,8

1,9

Goal diff per game

+1,6

-1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%

15 Shots 10

8 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 6

3 Corners 3

2 Offside 3

16 Free kicks against 17

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Basel 1. · Thun 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Basel	10	7	2	1	+16	23
2	Young Boys	10	6	4	0	+13	22
3	St. Gallen	10	5	2	3	+5	17
4	Sion	10	5	1	4	+1	16
5	Luzern	10	3	3	4	-2	12
6	Servette	10	2	5	3	+0	11
7	Zurich	10	3	2	5	-14	11
8	Lugano	10	2	3	5	-1	9
9	Xamax	10	1	5	4	-6	8
10	Thun	10	1	3	6	-12	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Basel	5	4	0	1	+9	12
2	Young Boys	5	3	2	0	+7	11
3	St. Gallen	6	3	1	2	+4	10
4	Zurich	5	2	1	2	-5	7
5	Servette	5	1	3	1	+0	6
6	Sion	5	2	0	3	-2	6
7	Luzern	4	1	2	1	-1	5
8	Lugano	4	0	2	2	-2	2
9	Xamax	5	0	2	3	-6	2
10	Thun	6	0	2	4	-8	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Basel	5	3	2	0	+7	11
2	Young Boys	5	3	2	0	+6	11
3	Sion	5	3	1	1	+3	10
4	Lugano	6	2	1	3	+1	7
5	St. Gallen	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Luzern	6	2	1	3	-1	7
7	Xamax	5	1	3	1	+0	6
8	Servette	5	1	2	2	+0	5
9	Thun	4	1	1	2	-4	4
10	Zurich	5	1	1	3	-9	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.