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Super League
Referee: A Jaccottet
Luzern
T U S S T
3–3
Full-time
Lugano
S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Lugano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
This season — Super League · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 35%
41%
28%
Points per game
1,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
45%
48%
Both score Ø 45%
41%
48%
Average goals
2,4
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,1
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

63% Possession 37%
18 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
10 Corners 0
1 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Luzern 6. · Lugano 7. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 30 17 7 6 +27 58
2 St. Gallen 29 18 4 7 +20 58
3 Basel 30 16 4 10 +27 52
4 Servette 29 11 11 7 +15 44
5 Zurich 29 12 6 11 -12 42
6 Luzern 29 12 5 12 -3 41
7 Lugano 29 8 10 11 -4 34
8 Sion 29 7 6 16 -18 27
9 Thun 29 7 4 18 -30 25
10 Xamax 29 4 11 14 -22 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

24. Jun -20 Lugano – Luzern 2–0 3. Nov -19 Luzern – Lugano 1–2 22. Sep -19 Lugano – Luzern 1–1

Match report

Luzern Lugano
6′
🟨 A. Kecskes
15′
⚽ N. Lavanchy 0–1
J. Sabbatini
23′
⚽ S. Lovric 0–2
39′
🟨 J. Sabbatini
Half-time 0–2
P. Schürpf 🔁
↦ B. Eleke
46′
46′
🔁 E. Yao
↦ A. Kecskés
47′
⚽ F. Holender 0–3
S. Lovric
L. Emini 🟨
54′
58′
🔁 A. Gerndt
↦ F. Holender
58′
🔁 D. Pavlovic
↦ Jefferson
61′
🟨 D. Pavlovic
1–3 P. Schürpf ⚽
O. Kakabadze
61′
A. Binous 🔁
↦ I. Voca
67′
2–3 F. Margiotta ⚽
69′
77′
🟨 M. Maric
3–3 P. Schürpf ⚽
L. Emini
77′
S. Sidler 🔁
↦ S. Grether
78′
80′
🔁 C. Lungoyi
↦ R. Janga
M. Schulz 🟨
82′
M. Marleku 🔁
↦ Ryder Matos
82′
84′
🔁 M. Čovilo
↦ R. Selasi
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Luzern

4-3-3
32 M. Müller G
17 S. Grether D
2 O. Kakabadze D
5 Lucão D
6 M. Bürki D
15 M. Schulz M
42 I. Voca M
31 L. Emini M
77 Ryder Matos F
9 F. Margiotta F
10 B. Eleke F
Bench (7)
11 P. Schürpf
73 A. Binous
34 S. Sidler
39 M. Marleku
25 D. Mistrafovic
23 S. Enzler
21 A. Balaruban

Coach: F. Celestini

Lugano

3-5-2
46 N. Baumann G
5 M. Marić D
30 F. Daprelà D
3 Jefferson M
16 N. Lavanchy M
4 A. Kecskés D
14 J. Sabbatini M
47 R. Selasi M
24 S. Lovric M
9 R. Janga F
11 F. Holender F
Bench (7)
18 E. Yao
19 A. Gerndt
23 D. Pavlovic
8 C. Lungoyi
6 M. Čovilo
1 D. da Costa
22 S. Guidotti

Coach: M. Jacobacci

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U ✓
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Jaccottet · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.