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Super League
Referee: N Gianforte
Luzern
S T U T U
3–1
Full-time
Lugano
T S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Lugano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
This season — Super League · 11/12 matches
Win Ø 35%
27%
42%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
45%
67%
Both score Ø 61%
55%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
19 Shots 10
10 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
12 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Luzern 8. · Lugano 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 13 8 4 1 +21 28
2 Servette 12 6 4 2 +4 22
3 Sion 13 5 4 4 +0 19
4 St. Gallen 12 5 2 5 +4 17
5 Lugano 12 5 1 6 -2 16
6 Basel 11 3 5 3 +3 14
7 Grasshoppers 12 3 5 4 -3 14
8 Luzern 11 3 4 4 +1 13
9 Winterthur 12 3 3 6 -15 12
10 Zurich 12 0 6 6 -13 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

7. Aug -22 Lugano – Luzern 1–2 3. Apr -22 Luzern – Lugano 2–2 6. Feb -22 Lugano – Luzern 2–1 21. Nov -21 Lugano – Luzern 3–1 26. Sep -21 Luzern – Lugano 2–3

Match report

Luzern Lugano
Half-time 0–0
Marco Burch 🟨
48′
52′
🟨 Allan Arigoni
57′
🔁 R. Steffen
↦ M. Haile-Selassie
57′
🔁 H. Mahou
↦ M. Amoura
61′
⚽ U. Bislimi 0–1
H. Mahou
62′
🟨 Uran Bislimi
Denis Simani ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
65′
1–1 M. Meyer ⚽
66′
2–1 M. Dräger ⚽
A. Jashari
69′
71′
🔁 R. Macek
↦ U. Bislimi
74′
🟨 Fabio Daprelà
D. Sorgić 🔁
↦ J. Ardaiz
74′
P. Schürpf 🔁
↦ Asumah Abubakar
75′
75′
🔁 M. Bottani
↦ J. Sabbatini
75′
🔁 B. Babic
↦ A. Arigoni
3–1 M. Meyer ⚽
P. Dorn
82′
C. Gentner 🔁
↦ M. Meyer
83′
84′
🟨 Milton Valenzuela
T. Klidjé 🔁
↦ S. Chader
92′
93′
🟨 Hicham Mahou
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Luzern

4-3-1-2
1 M. Müller G
2 M. Dräger D
5 D. Simani D
46 M. Burch D
20 P. Dorn D
18 N. Beloko M
6 A. Jashari M
69 S. Chader M
7 M. Meyer M
21 Asumah Abubakar F
19 J. Ardaiz F
Bench (9)
9 D. Sorgić
11 P. Schürpf
4 C. Gentner
17 T. Klidjé
31 L. Emini
30 I. Beka
90 V. Vasić
10 S. Campo
41 N. Rupp

Coach: M. Frick

Lugano

4-2-3-1
1 A. Saipi G
34 A. Arigoni D
15 L. Mai D
30 F. Daprelà D
17 M. Valenzuela D
14 J. Sabbatini M
20 O. Doumbia M
47 M. Amoura M
25 U. Bislimi M
11 M. Haile-Selassie M
9 Ž. Celar F
Bench (9)
22 R. Steffen
18 H. Mahou
77 R. Macek
10 M. Bottani
27 B. Babic
4 K. Hajrizi
58 S. Osigwe
5 A. Hajdari
29 H. Mahmoud

Coach: M. Croci-Torti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

N Gianforte · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,45 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.