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Super League
Referee: A Dudic
Lugano
T S U T T
2–1
Full-time
Luzern
T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Luzern
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
1,7
2,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-2,2
This season — Super League · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 26%
47%
5%
Points per game
1,6
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
37%
47%
Both score Ø 61%
47%
74%
Average goals
2,6
3,1
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
1,3
2,1
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

54% Possession 46%
15 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lugano 4. · Luzern 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Zurich 20 14 4 2 +20 46
2 Basel 20 9 10 1 +22 37
3 Young Boys 19 10 5 4 +22 35
4 Lugano 19 9 3 7 +0 30
5 Servette 20 8 4 8 -1 28
6 Sion 20 7 4 9 -9 25
7 Grasshoppers 20 5 8 7 +2 23
8 St. Gallen 19 5 4 10 -13 19
9 Lausanne 20 2 6 12 -24 12
10 Luzern 19 1 8 10 -19 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lugano Luzern
14′
🟨 Nikola Čumić
1–0 N. Lavanchy
20′
Half-time 1–1
46′
M. Dräger 1–1
F. Ugrinic
46′
🟨 Mohamed Dräger
46′
🔁 D. Sorgić
↦ N. Čumić
58′
🔁 V. Tasar
↦ J. Wehrmann
K. Rüegg 🔁
↦ Yuri
60′
69′
🔁 I. Ndiaye
↦ Asumah Abubakar
I. Aliseda 🔁
↦ Ž. Celar
70′
M. Haile-Selassie 🔁
↦ M. Bottani
70′
A. Durrer 🔁
↦ O. Custodio
82′
M. Facchinetti 🔁
↦ N. Lavanchy
82′
2–1 M. Haile-Selassie
S. Lovrić
83′
Jonathan Sabbatini 🟨
89′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Lugano

3-4-2-1
26 A. Saipi G
3 R. Ziegler D
5 M. Marić D
16 N. Lavanchy M
21 Yuri M
4 K. Hajrizi D
14 J. Sabbatini M
20 O. Custodio M
24 S. Lovrić F
10 M. Bottani F
19 Ž. Celar F
Bench (8)
27 K. Rüegg
31 I. Aliseda
18 M. Haile-Selassie
8 A. Durrer
7 M. Facchinetti
30 F. Daprelà
58 S. Osigwe
99 N. Muci

Coach: M. Croci-Torti

Luzern

4-3-1-2
32 M. Müller G
5 D. Simani D
2 M. Dräger D
34 S. Sidler D
46 M. Burch D
4 C. Gentner M
6 J. Wehrmann M
19 F. Ugrinic M
30 A. Jashari M
20 N. Čumić F
21 Asumah Abubakar F
Bench (9)
9 D. Sorgić
16 V. Tasar
7 I. Ndiaye
71 L. Jaquez
14 S. Izmirlioglu
10 S. Campo
23 S. Alabi
31 L. Emini
90 V. Vasić

Coach: M. Frick

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Dudic · 95 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.