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Super League
Referee: U Schnyder
Lausanne
T T U T S
2–5
Full-time
Winterthur
T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lausanne Winterthur
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,8
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
2,0
2,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 25%
25%
25%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
75%
75%
Both score Ø 88%
100%
75%
Average goals
2,8
4,5
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,5
2,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,28 xG 1,97
63% Possession 37%
17 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
11 Corners 1
1 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lausanne 8. · Winterthur 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Zurich 5 3 2 0 +8 11
2 Lugano 4 3 0 1 +6 +2.6 9
3 Young Boys 4 2 2 0 +4 +0.7 8
4 St. Gallen 5 2 2 1 +1 +1.2 8
5 Yverdon 5 2 1 2 -3 -3.0 7
6 Servette 5 1 3 1 -1 -2.3 6
7 Luzern 4 1 2 1 +0 +0.4 5
8 Lausanne 4 1 1 2 -1 +2.8 4
9 Grasshoppers 4 1 1 2 -2 -1.0 4
10 Winterthur 4 1 1 2 -4 -2.1 4
11 Basel 4 1 0 3 -1 +0.1 3
12 Lausanne Ouchy 4 0 1 3 -7 +0.7 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lausanne Winterthur
10′
A. Turkes 0–1
S. Ballet
35′
🟨 Alexandre Jankewitz
Aliou Balde 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–2
53′
A. Gantenbein 0–2
M. Di Giusto
57′
S. Ballet 0–3
M. Di Giusto
M. Poaty 🔁
↦ C. Kablan
58′
K. Sène 🔁
↦ B. Labeau
58′
T. Suzuki 🔁
↦ R. Ilie
58′
66′
🔁 S. Ltaief
↦ N. Burkart
66′
🔁 M. Araz
↦ M. Di Giusto
S. Kukuruzović 🔁
↦ O. Custodio
72′
S. Grippo 🔁
↦ R. Giger
73′
76′
🟨 Samuel Ballet
1–3 N. Dussenne
S. Kukuruzović
78′
79′
🔁 S. Ramizi
↦ S. Ballet
80′
🔁 R. Buess
↦ A. Turkes
86′
S. Ltaief 1–4
S. Ramizi
87′
🟨 Sayfallah Ltaief
88′
🔁 R. Arnold
↦ A. Jankewitz
2–4 N. Dussenne
T. Suzuki
91′
93′
S. Ltaief 2–5
S. Ramizi
Full-time 2–5

Line-ups

Lausanne

4-4-2
1 T. Castella G
34 R. Giger D
6 N. Dussenne D
4 A. Husic D
20 C. Kablan D
11 A. Balde M
24 A. Bernede M
10 O. Custodio M
19 R. Ilie M
80 A. Sanches F
96 B. Labeau F
Bench (9)
18 M. Poaty
9 K. Sène
28 T. Suzuki
7 S. Kukuruzović
2 S. Grippo
77 D. Schwizer
99 T. Coyle
25 K. Letica
8 J. Roche

Coach: L. Magnin

Winterthur

4-2-3-1
30 M. Kuster G
19 A. Gantenbein D
23 G. Lekaj D
4 B. Stillhart D
18 S. Diaby D
45 A. Jankewitz M
77 L. Zuffi M
17 S. Ballet M
10 M. Di Giusto M
99 N. Burkart M
11 A. Turkes F
Bench (9)
70 S. Ltaief
40 M. Araz
8 S. Ramizi
9 R. Buess
16 R. Arnold
6 R. Schneider
25 Y. Schmid
3 T. Schättin
1 J. Pukaj

Coach: P. Rahmen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

U Schnyder · 155 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.