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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: M Koløy
Fredrikstad
S S T S S
1–0
Full-time
hodd
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fredrikstad hodd
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
100%
17%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
2,0
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,0
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 20/19 matches
Win Ø 41%
55%
26%
Points per game
2,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
40%
42%
Both score Ø 54%
60%
47%
Average goals
2,1
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Fredrikstad 1. · hodd 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fredrikstad 20 11 8 1 +16 41
2 Kongsvinger 20 12 2 6 +11 38
3 Start 21 9 7 5 +13 34
4 KFUM Oslo 20 10 4 6 +7 34
5 Sogndal 19 9 4 6 +3 31
6 Ranheim 21 9 3 9 -12 30
7 Raufoss 20 8 4 8 +3 28
8 Sandnes ULF 19 7 5 7 +8 26
9 Kristiansund 18 7 5 6 +3 26
10 Moss 20 7 5 8 -4 26
11 Jerv 20 7 5 8 -6 26
12 Bryne 19 7 4 8 +0 25
13 Mjondalen 20 6 4 10 -6 22
14 hodd 19 5 5 9 -6 20
15 Asane 20 3 8 9 -7 17
16 Skeid 20 2 5 13 -23 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fredrikstad hodd
1–0 O. Aga
40′
Half-time 1–0
A. Konte 🔁
↦ H. Johansen
46′
46′
🔁 K. Tøsse
↦ Bernardo Morgado
63′
🔁 H. Urnes
↦ S. Skeide
63′
🔁 G. Mogensen
↦ S. Økland
R. Alba 🔁
↦ B. Hendriksson
77′
H. Åsheim 🔁
↦ O. Aga
77′
83′
🔁 D. Brandal
↦ R. Hjelmeseth
83′
🔁 R. Ziko
↦ R. Bonde
M. Lassen 🔁
↦ A. Konte
88′
90′
🟨 M. Alm
H. Asheim 🟨
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Fredrikstad

1 H. Jensen
4 S. Molde
26 M. Nielsen
3 B. Skaret
22 M. Woledzi
7 B. Hendriksson
14 J. Bjartalíð
19 J. Magnússon
12 P. Metcalfe
9 H. Johansen
29 O. Aga
Bench (9)
16 A. Konte
11 R. Alba
20 H. Åsheim
27 M. Lassen
2 T. Björkström
18 L. Begby
23 M. Maden
25 O. Langbråten
28 I. Hermansen

Coach: M. Thomassen

hodd

25 M. Andersen
24 E. Larsen
77 M. Alm
6 T. Lillo
18 Bernardo Morgado
32 S. Sundnes
3 R. Bonde
8 S. Økland
11 T. Kallevåg
20 S. Skeide
7 R. Hjelmeseth
Bench (6)
17 K. Tøsse
14 H. Urnes
21 G. Mogensen
22 D. Brandal
28 R. Ziko
1 O. Alme

Coach: J. Dragsten

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.