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2. Bundesliga
Referee: M Petersen
Nurnberg
S T U S S
2–1
Full-time
Wehen
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nurnberg Wehen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,8
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,7
3,2
Scored
2,5
2,3
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,5
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,7
1,3
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
2,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%
13 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
10 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 6
1 Red cards 2
The table before the match Nurnberg 12. · Wehen 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hamburg 4 3 1 0 +6 10
2 Hansa Rostock 4 3 0 1 +3 9
3 Holstein Kiel 4 3 0 1 +2 9
4 Fortuna Dusseldorf 4 2 1 1 +5 7
5 Magdeburg 3 2 1 0 +3 7
6 Wehen 3 2 1 0 +2 7
7 Kaiserslautern 4 2 0 2 -2 6
8 St Pauli 3 1 2 0 +1 5
9 Hannover 4 1 2 1 +0 5
10 Karlsruhe 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Greuther Furth 4 1 1 2 -1 4
12 Nurnberg 3 1 1 1 -1 4
13 Paderborn 4 1 1 2 -5 4
14 Hertha 4 1 0 3 +0 3
15 Braunschweig 3 1 0 2 -1 3
16 Schalke 04 4 1 0 3 -2 3
17 Osnabruck 4 0 1 3 -3 1
18 Elversberg 4 0 1 3 -7 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nurnberg Wehen
Ali Loune 🟨
10′
Ahmet Gürleyen 🟥
10′
F. Hübner 🔁
↦ K. Okunuki
13′
Taylan Duman 🟨
16′
16′
🟨 Hyun-ju Lee
19′
🟨 Gino Fechner
36′
🟨 Florian-Horst Carstens
40′
🟨 Hyun-ju Lee
40′
🟥 Hyun-ju Lee
Half-time 0–0
J. Castrop 🔁
↦ A. Loune
46′
L. Schleimer 🔁
↦ T. Duman
46′
46′
🔁 B. Jacobsen
↦ G. Fechner
46′
🔁 T. Goppel
↦ S. Mockenhaupt
55′
I. Prtajin 0–1
R. Heußer
T. Handwerker 🔁
↦ C. Uzun
64′
1–1 J. Gyamerah
L. Schleimer
68′
70′
🔁 A. Jonjić
↦ K. Froese
Tim Handwerker ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
74′
75′
🟨 Martin Angha
2–1 T. Handwerker
76′
82′
🔁 F. Kovačević
↦ F. Carstens
J. Lawrence 🔁
↦ N. Brown
84′
85′
🟨 Martin Angha
85′
🟥 Martin Angha
87′
🔁 A. Vukotić
↦ I. Prtajin
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Nurnberg

4-3-3
26 C. Mathenia G
28 J. Gyamerah D
3 A. Gürleyen D
38 J. Horn D
27 N. Brown D
8 T. Duman M
41 A. Loune M
42 C. Uzun M
14 B. Goller F
9 D. Hayashi F
11 K. Okunuki F
Bench (9)
19 F. Hübner
17 J. Castrop
36 L. Schleimer
29 T. Handwerker
4 J. Lawrence
1 C. Klaus
5 J. Geis
33 C. Daferner
22 E. Valentini

Coach: C. Fiél

Wehen

3-4-2-1
16 F. Stritzel G
2 M. Angha D
24 M. Mathisen D
17 F. Carstens D
4 S. Mockenhaupt M
7 R. Heußer M
6 G. Fechner M
27 N. Rieble M
30 K. Froese F
20 Lee Hyun-Ju F
18 I. Prtajin F
Bench (9)
19 B. Jacobsen
9 T. Goppel
10 A. Jonjić
14 F. Kovačević
26 A. Vukotić
13 M. Amsif
34 A. Ćatić
15 M. Reinthaler
21 J. Kade

Coach: M. Kauczinski

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,02
U
3,60
B
3,44
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,76
U2,5
2,04
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Petersen · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.