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Eredivisie

Referee: A Lindhout

Heerenveen

S T T S S

1–3

Full-time

Sparta Rotterdam

T U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen Sparta Rotterdam

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,5

2,3

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

This season — Eredivisie · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

3,5

Scored

2,5

2,0

Conceded

0,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,33 xG 2,07

55% Possession 45%

19 Shots 16

6 Shots on target 7

4 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 7

1 Offside 0

4 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 0

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heerenveen 4. · Sparta Rotterdam 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	2	2	0	0	+6	+2.1	6
2	Twente	2	2	0	0	+5	+1.0	6
3	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.2	6
4	Heerenveen	2	2	0	0	+4	-1.3	6
5	Feyenoord	3	1	2	0	+5	+4.6	5
6	Excelsior	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.7	5
7	For Sittard	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.2	5
8	Ajax	2	1	1	0	+3	+4.3	4
9	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.1	4
10	Nijmegen	3	1	0	2	+1	+0.4	3
11	Go Ahead Eagles	2	1	0	1	-1	-3.5	3
12	Vitesse	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.4	3
13	Zwolle	3	1	0	2	-2	+0.8	3
14	Heracles	2	1	0	1	-2	-2.7	3
15	Volendam	2	0	0	2	-4	+0.2	0
16	Utrecht	3	0	0	3	-5	-1.4	0
17	Waalwijk	3	0	0	3	-7	+0.6	0
18	Almere City	3	0	0	3	-9	-4.8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Feyenoord	2	1	1	0	+5	+3.4	4
2	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.6	3
3	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.6	3
4	Go Ahead Eagles	1	1	0	0	+3	-0.9	3
5	Nijmegen	2	1	0	1	+2	+0.4	3
6	Twente	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.2	3
7	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+2	-1.0	3
8	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.9	3
9	Heracles	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.0	3
10	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
11	Zwolle	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.6	3
12	Excelsior	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.2	2
13	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
14	Volendam	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.7	0
15	Vitesse	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.3	0
16	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.4	0
17	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.4	0
18	Almere City	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Twente	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.2	3
2	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.3	3
3	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.4	3
4	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.4	3
5	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
6	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
7	Vitesse	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.7	3
8	For Sittard	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.7	2
9	Feyenoord	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
10	Ajax	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.6	1
11	Nijmegen	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.0	0
12	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.2	0
13	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.6	0
14	Volendam	1	0	0	1	-3	+0.9	0
15	Utrecht	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.7	0
16	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.6	0
17	Waalwijk	2	0	0	2	-5	+0.2	0
18	Almere City	2	0	0	2	-6	-3.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.