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Serie A

Referee: L Marinelli

Lazio

U S S S T

0–1

Full-time

Genoa

S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lazio Genoa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,8

4,5

Scored

1,5

2,2

Conceded

1,3

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

3,0

5,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

2,0

4,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-3,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,45 xG 0,56

70% Possession 30%

16 Shots 5

2 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

15 Corners 1

9 Free kicks against 16

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lazio 16. · Genoa 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Milan	2	2	0	0	+5	+2.4	6
2	Verona	2	2	0	0	+2	-1.0	6
3	Fiorentina	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.9	4
4	Juventus	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.2	4
5	Lecce	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.2	4
6	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.6	3
7	Inter	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.9	3
8	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.8	3
9	Monza	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.9	3
10	Frosinone	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.5	3
11	Salernitana	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.8	1
12	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
13	Roma	2	0	1	1	-1	+2.6	1
14	Bologna	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.2	1
15	Torino	2	0	1	1	-3	-2.0	1
16	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
17	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.9	0
18	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.8	0
19	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.9	0
20	Empoli	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Milan	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.6	3
2	Inter	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.9	3
3	Monza	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.0	3
4	Verona	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.8	3
5	Lecce	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.1	3
6	Frosinone	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.5	3
7	Fiorentina	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
8	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.8	1
9	Juventus	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
10	Torino	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
11	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
12	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.9	0
13	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.2	0
14	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.8	0
15	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.8	3
2	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.9	3
3	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.6	3
4	Milan	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.2	3
5	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.8	3
6	Verona	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
7	Lecce	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
8	Salernitana	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.8	1
9	Bologna	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.3	1
10	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
11	Roma	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.8	0
12	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
13	Monza	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.9	0
14	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.0	0
15	Torino	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.