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Premier League
Referee: J Gillett
1–2
Full-time
Man City
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sheffield United Man City
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
1,8
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premier League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
0,5
2,0
Conceded
1,5
0,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,67 xG 3,60
21% Possession 79%
6 Shots 30
2 Shots on target 9
0 Blocked shots 8
7 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 12
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 2
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sheffield United 17. · Man City 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 West Ham 3 2 1 0 +4 +0.8 7
2 Tottenham 3 2 1 0 +4 +0.1 7
3 Arsenal 3 2 1 0 +2 +3.3 7
4 Brighton 3 2 0 1 +4 +0.9 6
5 Man City 2 2 0 0 +4 +2.5 6
6 Man United 3 2 0 1 +0 +1.8 6
7 Brentford 3 1 2 0 +3 +4.6 5
8 Liverpool 2 1 1 0 +2 +1.7 4
9 Chelsea 3 1 1 1 +1 +2.6 4
10 Crystal Palace 3 1 1 1 +0 +0.2 4
11 Fulham 3 1 1 1 -2 -7.3 4
12 Newcastle 2 1 0 1 +3 +0.9 3
13 Aston Villa 2 1 0 1 +0 +0.7 3
14 Nott'm Forest 3 1 0 2 -1 -0.4 3
15 Wolves 3 1 0 2 -3 -0.2 3
16 Bournemouth 3 0 1 2 -4 -2.9 1
17 Sheffield United 2 0 0 2 -2 -2.3 0
18 Luton 2 0 0 2 -6 -4.4 0
19 Everton 3 0 0 3 -6 -0.9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sheffield United Man City
Y. Larouci 🔁
↦ B. Osborn
17′
Half-time 0–0
George Baldock 🟨
49′
William Osula 🟨
59′
63′
E. Haaland 0–1
J. Grealish
J. Bogle 🔁
↦ G. Baldock
71′
O. McBurnie 🔁
↦ W. Osula
71′
Vinícius Souza 🟨
77′
C. Basham 🔁
↦ O. Norwood
80′
John Egan 🟨
83′
1–1 J. Bogle
85′
86′
🔁 P. Foden
↦ M. Kovačić
88′
Rodri 1–2
P. Foden
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Sheffield United

3-5-2
18 W. Foderingham G
15 A. Ahmedhodžić D
12 J. Egan D
19 J. Robinson D
2 G. Baldock M
21 Vinicius Souza M
16 O. Norwood M
8 G. Hamer M
23 B. Osborn M
32 W. Osula F
11 B. Traoré F
Bench (9)
27 Y. Larouci
20 J. Bogle
9 O. McBurnie
6 C. Basham
17 I. Coulibaly
34 L. Marsh
35 A. Brooks
5 A. Trusty
1 A. Davies

Coach: P. Heckingbottom

Man City

4-2-3-1
31 Ederson G
2 K. Walker D
3 Rúben Dias D
6 N. Aké D
24 J. Gvardiol D
16 Rodri M
8 M. Kovačić M
20 Bernardo Silva M
19 J. Álvarez M
10 J. Grealish M
9 E. Haaland F
Bench (9)
47 P. Foden
4 K. Phillips
80 C. Palmer
52 O. Bobb
87 J. McAtee
21 Sergio Gómez
82 R. Lewis
18 S. Ortega
11 J. Doku

Coach: Pep Guardiola

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
16,67
U
7,51
B ✓
1,18
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,57
U2,5
2,41
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Gillett · 178 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.