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Super League

Referee: S Horisberger

Lugano

S S T T T

1–1

Full-time

Young Boys

S U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Young Boys

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,5

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 55%

50%

60%

Points per game

1,5

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

80%

60%

Both score Ø 60%

60%

Average goals

3,6

2,9

Scored

1,9

2,0

Conceded

1,7

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

36% Possession 64%

13 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 5

3 Offside 4

9 Free kicks against 17

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lugano 8. · Young Boys 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zurich	12	6	6	0	+13	+0.1	24
2	Young Boys	10	6	3	1	+11	+1.0	21
3	St. Gallen	12	6	3	3	+7	+4.7	21
4	Luzern	11	5	3	3	+0	+1.0	18
5	Winterthur	12	4	4	4	-1	+0.4	16
6	Servette	11	4	4	3	-1	+2.0	16
7	Yverdon	12	4	4	4	-5	-5.1	16
8	Lugano	10	5	0	5	+2	+3.0	15
9	Lausanne	12	3	3	6	-2	+2.4	12
10	Grasshoppers	12	3	2	7	-4	-1.7	11
11	Lausanne Ouchy	11	2	4	5	-8	-1.8	10
12	Basel	11	1	2	8	-12	-6.0	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gallen	6	6	0	0	+10	+2.4	18
2	Zurich	6	4	2	0	+7	-0.7	14
3	Young Boys	5	4	1	0	+10	+1.4	13
4	Luzern	6	4	1	1	+2	+0.4	13
5	Winterthur	6	3	2	1	+3	+1.4	11
6	Yverdon	6	3	2	1	+2	+0.1	11
7	Lugano	4	3	0	1	+6	+2.3	9
8	Lausanne	6	2	2	2	+1	+2.3	8
9	Grasshoppers	6	2	1	3	-1	-2.1	7
10	Servette	5	1	3	1	+0	-1.2	6
11	Lausanne Ouchy	6	1	3	2	-5	+0.8	6
12	Basel	6	1	2	3	-2	-3.0	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zurich	6	2	4	0	+6	+0.8	10
2	Servette	6	3	1	2	-1	+3.2	10
3	Young Boys	5	2	2	1	+1	-0.4	8
4	Lugano	6	2	0	4	-4	+0.7	6
5	Luzern	5	1	2	2	-2	+0.6	5
6	Winterthur	6	1	2	3	-4	-1.0	5
7	Yverdon	6	1	2	3	-7	-5.2	5
8	Lausanne	6	1	1	4	-3	+0.1	4
9	Grasshoppers	6	1	1	4	-3	+0.4	4
10	Lausanne Ouchy	5	1	1	3	-3	-2.6	4
11	St. Gallen	6	0	3	3	-3	+2.3	3
12	Basel	5	0	0	5	-10	-3.0	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.