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Super League
Referee: L Cibelli
Young Boys
S S S U S
1–1
Full-time
Lugano
S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Young Boys Lugano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
2,7
1,7
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,7
This season — Super League · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 53%
65%
40%
Points per game
2,3
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
70%
60%
Both score Ø 65%
60%
70%
Average goals
3,1
3,1
Scored
2,4
1,6
Conceded
0,7
1,6
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%
11 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 4
4 Offside 2
20 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Young Boys 1. · Lugano 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 20 13 6 1 +35 45
2 Servette 20 8 8 4 +0 32
3 St. Gallen 20 8 4 8 +7 28
4 Lugano 20 8 4 8 +0 28
5 Luzern 20 6 8 6 +1 26
6 Basel 20 6 7 7 +4 25
7 Grasshoppers 20 6 6 8 -3 24
8 Sion 21 5 7 9 -10 22
9 Winterthur 21 5 6 10 -22 21
10 Zurich 20 4 8 8 -12 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Oct -22 Lugano – Young Boys 1–4 11. Sep -22 Young Boys – Lugano 3–0 7. May -22 Lugano – Young Boys 3–1 29. Jan -22 Young Boys – Lugano 1–0 19. Dec -21 Lugano – Young Boys 0–5

Match report

Young Boys Lugano
19′
🟨 Jonathan Sabbatini
24′
🔁 U. Bislimi
↦ H. Mahmoud
38′
⚽ M. Valenzuela 0–1
R. Steffen
Cedric Zesiger 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–1
47′
🟨 Renato Steffen
1–1 J. Nsame ⚽
D. Rrudhani
48′
C. Niasse 🔁
↦ F. Rieder
63′
U. Garcia 🔁
↦ L. Benito
70′
F. Ugrinic 🔁
↦ D. Rrudhani
70′
Joël Monteiro 🔁
↦ C. Itten
70′
70′
🔁 H. Mahou
↦ R. Macek
Lewin Blum 🟨
75′
Q. Maceiras 🔁
↦ L. Blum
84′
84′
🔁 M. Amoura
↦ R. Steffen
84′
🔁 B. Babic
↦ Ž. Celar
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Young Boys

4-3-1-2
1 A. Racioppi G
27 L. Blum D
28 F. Lustenberger D
5 C. Zesiger D
23 L. Benito D
16 C. Fassnacht M
30 S. Lauper M
22 D. Rrudhani M
32 F. Rieder M
18 J. Nsame F
11 C. Itten F
Bench (8)
20 C. Niasse
21 U. Garcia
7 F. Ugrinic
77 Joël Monteiro
24 Q. Maceiras
4 A. Amenda
40 D. Marzino
14 M. Chaiwa

Coach: R. Wicky

Lugano

4-4-2
1 A. Saipi G
20 O. Doumbia D
4 K. Hajrizi D
30 F. Daprelà D
23 M. Valenzuela D
77 R. Macek M
14 J. Sabbatini M
29 H. Mahmoud M
31 I. Aliseda M
11 R. Steffen F
9 Ž. Celar F
Bench (8)
25 U. Bislimi
18 H. Mahou
47 M. Amoura
27 B. Babic
58 S. Osigwe
46 F. Stöber
41 N. De Queiroz
24 C. Nkama

Coach: M. Croci-Torti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U ✓
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

L Cibelli · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.