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Pro League

Referee: S Bourdeaud'hui

Eupen

T T T U T

1–3

Full-time

Genk

U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eupen Genk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,3

3,0

Scored

0,7

1,7

Conceded

2,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-2,0

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 12/10 matches

Win Ø 29%

17%

40%

Points per game

0,7

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

67%

60%

Both score Ø 54%

67%

40%

Average goals

3,3

3,1

Scored

1,0

2,1

Conceded

2,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+1,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,70 xG 2,99

46% Possession 54%

11 Shots 18

4 Shots on target 10

3 Blocked shots 3

7 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 8

0 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Eupen 14. · Genk 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Anderlecht	11	8	2	1	+13	+8.3	26
2	St. Gilloise	10	8	1	1	+16	+11.5	25
3	Cercle Brugge	10	8	0	2	+11	+10.4	24
4	Club Brugge	12	6	3	3	+14	+17.3	21
5	Antwerp	11	5	5	1	+18	+12.5	20
6	Gent	11	5	5	1	+7	+7.4	20
7	Genk	10	4	4	2	+11	+12.5	16
8	Mechelen	11	4	3	4	+0	-2.8	15
9	Standard	11	4	3	4	-5	-10.8	15
10	RWD Molenbeek	13	3	4	6	-14	-15.3	13
11	St Truiden	10	2	5	3	-5	-5.2	11
12	Charleroi	12	2	4	6	-8	-8.0	10
13	Westerlo	12	2	3	7	-9	-6.8	9
14	Eupen	12	2	2	8	-16	-18.6	8
15	Kortrijk	13	2	2	9	-20	-7.2	8
16	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	11	1	2	8	-13	-5.1	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Anderlecht	5	5	0	0	+9	+5.6	15
2	Cercle Brugge	5	5	0	0	+8	+6.2	15
3	Gent	7	4	3	0	+7	+4.9	15
4	Antwerp	6	4	2	0	+16	+11.8	14
5	St. Gilloise	4	4	0	0	+12	+6.9	12
6	Club Brugge	5	3	2	0	+10	+7.2	11
7	Mechelen	6	3	2	1	+4	-0.1	11
8	Standard	6	3	1	2	+1	-4.6	10
9	Genk	6	2	3	1	+5	+7.9	9
10	Charleroi	6	2	3	1	+0	+0.8	9
11	RWD Molenbeek	6	2	2	2	-3	-4.5	8
12	Kortrijk	8	2	2	4	-6	-3.4	8
13	St Truiden	6	1	2	3	-6	-3.5	5
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	4	1	1	2	+1	-2.1	4
15	Eupen	5	1	1	3	-7	-5.7	4
16	Westerlo	5	1	0	4	-7	-5.8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	6	4	1	1	+4	+4.5	13
2	Anderlecht	6	3	2	1	+4	+2.7	11
3	Club Brugge	7	3	1	3	+4	+10.1	10
4	Cercle Brugge	5	3	0	2	+3	+4.2	9
5	Genk	4	2	1	1	+6	+4.6	7
6	Antwerp	5	1	3	1	+2	+0.7	6
7	St Truiden	4	1	3	0	+1	-1.7	6
8	Westerlo	7	1	3	3	-2	-1.1	6
9	Gent	4	1	2	1	+0	+2.5	5
10	Standard	5	1	2	2	-6	-6.3	5
11	RWD Molenbeek	7	1	2	4	-11	-10.8	5
12	Mechelen	5	1	1	3	-4	-2.7	4
13	Eupen	7	1	1	5	-9	-12.8	4
14	Charleroi	6	0	1	5	-8	-8.9	1
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	7	0	1	6	-14	-3.0	1
16	Kortrijk	5	0	0	5	-14	-3.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.