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Super League

Referee: A Dudic

Winterthur

T S S U S

1–3

Full-time

Basel

S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Winterthur Basel

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,5

1,5

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

1,7

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 33%

35%

30%

Points per game

1,3

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

80%

60%

Both score Ø 73%

90%

55%

Average goals

4,1

2,9

Scored

1,9

1,2

Conceded

2,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

34% Possession 66%

9 Shots 31

4 Shots on target 11

2 Blocked shots 9

8 Goalkeeper saves 3

1 Corners 9

1 Offside 4

11 Free kicks against 12

6 Yellow cards 3

2 Red cards 0

The table before the match Winterthur 7. · Basel 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	20	12	5	3	+23	+0.6	41
2	St. Gallen	20	11	3	6	+10	+8.3	36
3	Servette	20	9	8	3	+9	+12.2	35
4	Zurich	20	8	8	4	+13	+1.4	32
5	Lugano	20	9	2	9	+4	+5.6	29
6	Luzern	20	8	4	8	-5	-1.0	28
7	Winterthur	20	7	5	8	-5	-1.3	26
8	Grasshoppers	20	7	3	10	+1	-6.6	24
9	Yverdon	20	6	6	8	-14	-9.2	24
10	Basel	20	6	4	10	-9	-5.8	22
11	Lausanne	20	5	5	10	-7	+2.5	20
12	Lausanne Ouchy	20	3	5	12	-20	-6.6	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gallen	10	9	0	1	+14	+4.1	27
2	Young Boys	10	8	2	0	+20	+3.7	26
3	Luzern	10	7	1	2	+6	+3.0	22
4	Servette	10	5	4	1	+8	+6.1	19
5	Zurich	10	5	4	1	+7	+0.6	19
6	Winterthur	10	5	3	2	+2	+1.7	18
7	Yverdon	10	5	3	2	-1	+0.1	18
8	Grasshoppers	10	5	2	3	+8	-1.9	17
9	Lugano	10	5	1	4	+2	+2.2	16
10	Lausanne	10	4	3	3	+3	+1.3	15
11	Basel	10	4	2	4	+1	-3.3	14
12	Lausanne Ouchy	10	1	4	5	-12	-1.4	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Servette	10	4	4	2	+1	+6.1	16
2	Young Boys	10	4	3	3	+3	-3.1	15
3	Zurich	10	3	4	3	+6	+0.8	13
4	Lugano	10	4	1	5	+2	+3.4	13
5	St. Gallen	10	2	3	5	-4	+4.2	9
6	Winterthur	10	2	2	6	-7	-2.9	8
7	Basel	10	2	2	6	-10	-2.5	8
8	Grasshoppers	10	2	1	7	-7	-4.7	7
9	Lausanne Ouchy	10	2	1	7	-8	-5.2	7
10	Luzern	10	1	3	6	-11	-4.1	6
11	Yverdon	10	1	3	6	-13	-9.3	6
12	Lausanne	10	1	2	7	-10	+1.1	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.