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Ekstraklasa

Referee: P Raczkowski

Jagiellonia

S S S T U

1–3

Full-time

Cracovia

T U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Cracovia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,3

2,5

Scored

2,3

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 38%

56%

19%

Points per game

1,9

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

78%

37%

Both score Ø 63%

70%

56%

Average goals

3,6

2,7

Scored

2,3

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

2,61 xG 2,86

72% Possession 28%

20 Shots 18

6 Shots on target 9

5 Blocked shots 3

7 Goalkeeper saves 6

9 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Jagiellonia 1. · Cracovia 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Jagiellonia	27	15	7	5	+28	+13.4	52
2	Slask Wroclaw	27	14	8	5	+14	+4.8	50
3	Lech Poznan	28	13	9	6	+8	-4.3	48
4	Pogon Szczecin	28	14	5	9	+22	+12.9	47
5	Rakow	28	12	10	6	+19	+19.8	46
6	Legia	28	12	10	6	+10	+7.7	46
7	Gornik Zabrze	27	12	6	9	+4	-4.6	42
8	Widzew Lodz	28	11	6	11	+0	-3.6	39
9	Stal Mielec	28	10	8	10	-1	-10.2	38
10	Radomiak Radom	28	9	8	11	-9	-0.7	35
11	Zaglebie	27	9	8	10	-9	+3.9	35
12	Warta Poznan	28	7	10	11	-7	-7.7	31
13	Cracovia	27	5	14	8	-3	-1.7	29
14	Piast Gliwice	27	5	14	8	-6	+10.4	29
15	Puszcza	28	6	11	11	-12	-15.7	29
16	Korona Kielce	28	5	12	11	-8	-2.5	27
17	LKS Lodz	28	5	6	17	-32	-16.3	21
18	Ruch Chorzow	28	2	14	12	-18	-5.6	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Jagiellonia	13	10	2	1	+26	+14.0	32
2	Rakow	14	9	5	0	+23	+12.7	32
3	Lech Poznan	14	9	3	2	+15	+1.5	30
4	Widzew Lodz	14	9	0	5	+3	+3.7	27
5	Legia	14	7	5	2	+11	+8.6	26
6	Stal Mielec	14	7	5	2	+9	+0.6	26
7	Slask Wroclaw	14	7	4	3	+8	+9.3	25
8	Gornik Zabrze	13	7	3	3	+4	-2.5	24
9	Pogon Szczecin	14	7	2	5	+10	+14.0	23
10	Puszcza	14	5	7	2	+1	-3.0	22
11	Zaglebie	14	5	5	4	-1	+1.6	20
12	Korona Kielce	14	4	7	3	+2	+6.2	19
13	Piast Gliwice	13	4	6	3	+2	+8.7	18
14	Radomiak Radom	14	4	5	5	-3	+2.1	17
15	LKS Lodz	14	4	5	5	-9	-10.4	17
16	Cracovia	14	3	7	4	+1	+0.4	16
17	Warta Poznan	14	3	5	6	-4	-2.8	14
18	Ruch Chorzow	14	2	7	5	-3	+2.9	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Slask Wroclaw	13	7	4	2	+6	-4.5	25
2	Pogon Szczecin	14	7	3	4	+12	-1.1	24
3	Jagiellonia	14	5	5	4	+2	-0.6	20
4	Legia	14	5	5	4	-1	-0.9	20
5	Gornik Zabrze	14	5	3	6	+0	-2.1	18
6	Radomiak Radom	14	5	3	6	-6	-2.8	18
7	Lech Poznan	14	4	6	4	-7	-5.8	18
8	Warta Poznan	14	4	5	5	-3	-4.9	17
9	Zaglebie	13	4	3	6	-8	+2.3	15
10	Rakow	14	3	5	6	-4	+7.0	14
11	Cracovia	13	2	7	4	-4	-2.1	13
12	Widzew Lodz	14	2	6	6	-3	-7.4	12
13	Stal Mielec	14	3	3	8	-10	-10.8	12
14	Piast Gliwice	14	1	8	5	-8	+1.7	11
15	Korona Kielce	14	1	5	8	-10	-8.7	8
16	Puszcza	14	1	4	9	-13	-12.8	7
17	Ruch Chorzow	14	0	7	7	-15	-8.5	7
18	LKS Lodz	14	1	1	12	-23	-5.9	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.