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Süper Lig
Referee: M Güzenge
Hatayspor
T T U S T
0–3
Full-time
İstanbulspor
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hatayspor İstanbulspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 17%
23%
10%
Points per game
1,1
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
45%
48%
Both score Ø 52%
52%
52%
Average goals
2,5
2,6
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
1,3
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,22 xG 2,88
57% Possession 43%
12 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 7
5 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 7
3 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hatayspor 16. · İstanbulspor 20.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 31 27 3 1 +49 +41.0 84
2 Fenerbahce 31 26 4 1 +56 +53.3 82
3 Trabzonspor 32 16 4 12 +12 +2.6 52
4 Besiktas 32 14 6 12 +4 +9.8 48
5 Buyuksehyr 32 13 7 12 +4 -0.2 46
6 Kasimpasa 32 13 7 12 -2 -9.4 46
7 Rizespor 31 13 6 12 -7 -3.3 45
8 Sivasspor 32 11 11 10 -5 -5.2 44
9 Antalyaspor 31 10 12 9 +2 +0.4 42
10 Alanyaspor 31 10 12 9 -1 +3.8 42
11 Ad. Demirspor 32 9 13 10 +5 -1.3 40
12 Kayserispor 32 10 10 12 -9 -9.0 40
13 Samsunspor 32 10 8 14 -6 +3.8 38
14 Ankaragücü 32 8 13 11 -1 -4.7 37
15 Konyaspor 32 8 12 12 -11 -9.7 36
16 Hatayspor 31 7 12 12 -5 -5.8 33
17 Gaziantep 32 8 7 17 -15 -14.9 31
18 Karagumruk 31 7 9 15 -5 -14.0 30
19 Pendikspor 32 7 9 16 -28 -11.7 30
20 İstanbulspor 31 3 7 21 -37 -25.4 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hatayspor İstanbulspor
Half-time 0–0
M. Boudjemaa 🔁
↦ Rui Pedro
46′
Mehdi Boudjemaa 🟨
48′
68′
F. Loshaj 0–1
Jackson
Joelson Fernandes 🔁
↦ H. Dervişoğlu
69′
R. Dadashov 🔁
↦ C. Strandberg
69′
71′
M. Mamadou 0–2
E. Gültekin
73′
🔁 O. Erdoğan
↦ A. Yaşar
D. Sinik 🔁
↦ K. Alıcı
77′
78′
🔁 Ö. Şahan
↦ Jackson
84′
🔁 E. Şan
↦ E. Gültekin
84′
🔁 V. Temel
↦ M. Mamadou
Doğukan Sinik 🟨
86′
87′
V. Temel 0–3
K. Çörekçi 🔁
↦ F. Dele-Bashiru
89′
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Hatayspor

4-1-4-1
1 E. Kardeşler G
22 K. Alıcı D
3 G. Kilama D
19 N. Maksimović D
13 F. Ghoulam D
4 C. Massanga M
99 R. Rivas M
17 F. Dele-Bashiru M
14 Rui Pedro M
11 H. Dervişoğlu M
10 C. Strandberg F
Bench (10)
8 M. Boudjemaa
77 Joelson Fernandes
9 R. Dadashov
70 D. Sinik
2 K. Çörekçi
27 C. Demir
88 C. Sertel
29 G. Aburjania
5 G. Sağlam
12 V. Bekaj

Coach: V. Demirel

İstanbulspor

5-3-2
59 A. Arda G
7 D. Sambissa D
4 M. Yeşil D
14 S. Deli D
13 R. Coly D
66 A. Yaşar D
34 F. Loshaj M
6 M. Vorobjovas M
99 Jackson M
12 M. Mamadou F
19 E. Gültekin F
Bench (6)
23 O. Erdoğan
20 Ö. Şahan
97 E. Şan
8 V. Temel
88 D. Traoré
26 M. Serbest

Coach: O. Korkmaz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,44
U
4,47
B ✓
7,03
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,78
U2,5
2,02
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Güzenge · 30 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,03 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.