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2. Bundesliga

Referee: T Reichel

St Pauli

T S S S T

3–4

Full-time

Elversberg

T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Pauli Elversberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

3,5

2,7

Scored

2,0

0,7

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 47%

57%

36%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

54%

64%

Both score Ø 63%

64%

61%

Average goals

2,8

3,1

Scored

1,8

1,4

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,3

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

70% Possession 30%

19 Shots 14

8 Shots on target 10

2 Blocked shots 3

6 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 1

2 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 8

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Pauli 2. · Elversberg 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	29	18	4	7	+25	58
2	St Pauli	28	16	9	3	+23	57
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	29	15	7	7	+28	52
4	Hamburg	28	14	6	8	+14	48
5	Hannover	28	11	11	6	+15	44
6	Hertha	29	12	8	9	+12	44
7	Karlsruhe	29	11	10	8	+15	43
8	Greuther Furth	29	12	6	11	-2	42
9	Paderborn	29	11	7	11	-5	40
10	Nurnberg	29	10	7	12	-16	37
11	Elversberg	28	10	6	12	-9	36
12	Schalke 04	29	10	5	14	-10	35
13	Magdeburg	28	8	8	12	-6	32
14	Wehen	29	8	7	14	-9	31
15	Hansa Rostock	29	9	4	16	-21	31
16	Braunschweig	28	9	3	16	-11	30
17	Kaiserslautern	29	8	5	16	-13	29
18	Osnabruck	29	5	9	15	-30	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	14	9	5	0	+18	32
2	Hamburg	14	10	0	4	+14	30
3	Greuther Furth	15	9	3	3	+11	30
4	Karlsruhe	15	8	5	2	+17	29
5	Holstein Kiel	15	9	1	5	+9	28
6	Hannover	14	7	6	1	+16	27
7	Schalke 04	15	8	3	4	+9	27
8	Hertha	15	7	5	3	+19	26
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	14	7	3	4	+7	24
10	Magdeburg	14	6	3	5	+4	21
11	Braunschweig	14	6	3	5	+3	21
12	Hansa Rostock	14	6	2	6	-3	20
13	Paderborn	15	5	4	6	-2	19
14	Kaiserslautern	14	6	1	7	-3	19
15	Nurnberg	14	5	4	5	-6	19
16	Elversberg	14	5	3	6	-4	18
17	Wehen	14	4	5	5	-3	17
18	Osnabruck	14	3	5	6	-7	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	14	9	3	2	+16	30
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	15	8	4	3	+21	28
3	St Pauli	14	7	4	3	+5	25
4	Paderborn	14	6	3	5	-3	21
5	Hamburg	14	4	6	4	+0	18
6	Elversberg	14	5	3	6	-5	18
7	Hertha	14	5	3	6	-7	18
8	Nurnberg	15	5	3	7	-10	18
9	Hannover	14	4	5	5	-1	17
10	Karlsruhe	14	3	5	6	-2	14
11	Wehen	15	4	2	9	-6	14
12	Greuther Furth	14	3	3	8	-13	12
13	Magdeburg	14	2	5	7	-10	11
14	Hansa Rostock	15	3	2	10	-18	11
15	Kaiserslautern	15	2	4	9	-10	10
16	Osnabruck	15	2	4	9	-23	10
17	Braunschweig	14	3	0	11	-14	9
18	Schalke 04	14	2	2	10	-19	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.