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La Liga
Referee: Alejandro Muniz Ruiz
Las Palmas
U U T T T
0–2
Full-time
Sevilla
T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Las Palmas Sevilla
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
2,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 28%
33%
23%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
30%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
40%
60%
Average goals
2,1
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,1
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,07 xG 2,08
63% Possession 37%
5 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 2
2 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Las Palmas 12. · Sevilla 14.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Real Madrid 31 24 6 1 +47 +31.1 78
2 Barcelona 31 21 7 3 +28 +35.2 70
3 Girona 31 20 5 6 +24 +12.7 65
4 Ath Madrid 31 19 4 8 +23 +19.1 61
5 Ath Bilbao 30 16 8 6 +22 +14.4 56
6 Sociedad 30 13 10 7 +12 +6.4 49
7 Betis 31 11 12 8 +1 -6.4 45
8 Valencia 30 12 8 10 +1 -3.7 44
9 Getafe 31 9 12 10 -6 -7.1 39
10 Osasuna 30 11 6 13 -7 -8.0 39
11 Villarreal 30 10 8 12 -5 -3.1 38
12 Las Palmas 30 10 7 13 -4 -17.4 37
13 Alaves 30 8 8 14 -10 +0.5 32
14 Sevilla 30 7 10 13 -7 -11.4 31
15 Mallorca 31 6 13 12 -11 -6.5 31
16 Vallecano 31 6 13 12 -13 -4.0 31
17 Celta 31 6 10 15 -13 -7.5 28
18 Cadiz 31 4 13 14 -20 -14.4 25
19 Granada 30 2 8 20 -30 -17.2 14
20 Almeria 30 1 10 19 -32 -12.9 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Las Palmas Sevilla
Saul Coco ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
5′
Saul Coco 🟥
6′
Alex Suárez 🟨
7′
Sandro Ramírez 🟨
43′
43′
Youssef En-Nesyri 0–1
Nemanja Gudelj
Half-time 0–1
Marvin Park 🟨
49′
61′
🟨 Loïc Badé
66′
🔁 Jesús Navas
↦ Lucas Ocampos
66′
🔁 Lucien Agoumé
↦ Loïc Badé
73′
🟨 Kike Salas
Munir El Haddadi 🔁
↦ Sandro Ramírez
78′
Benito Ramírez 🔁
↦ Javier Muñoz
78′
78′
🔁 Dodi Lukebakio
↦ Óliver Torres
78′
🔁 Suso
↦ Isaac Romero
José Campaña 🔁
↦ Máximo Perrone
87′
Sory Kaba 🔁
↦ Alex Suárez
90′
91′
🟨 Ørjan Nyland
93′
Dodi Lukebakio 0–2
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Las Palmas

4-5-1
1 Aarón Escandell G
4 Alex Suárez D
23 Saul Coco D
15 Mika Mármol D
3 Sergi Cardona D
2 Marvin Park M
5 Javier Muñoz M
8 Máximo Perrone M
20 Kirian Rodríguez M
10 Alberto Moleiro M
9 Sandro Ramírez F
Bench (12)
11 Benito Ramírez
17 Munir El Haddadi
21 José Campaña
16 Sory Kaba
35 Alex González
14 Álvaro Lemos
18 Daley Sinkgraven
6 Eric Curbelo
12 Enzo Loiodice
25 Fabio González
24 Pejiño
19 Marc Cardona

Coach: García Pimienta

Sevilla

5-3-2
13 Ørjan Nyland G
5 Lucas Ocampos D
22 Loïc Badé D
4 Sergio Ramos D
2 Kike Salas D
3 Adrià Pedrosa D
24 Boubakary Soumaré M
6 Nemanja Gudelj M
21 Óliver Torres M
20 Isaac Romero F
15 Youssef En-Nesyri F
Bench (12)
16 Jesús Navas
42 Lucien Agoumé
7 Suso
11 Dodi Lukebakio
1 Marko Dmitrović
33 Matías Árbol
26 Juanlu Sánchez
23 Marcão
14 Tanguy Nianzou
17 Erik Lamela
8 Joan Jordán
46 Hannibal Mejbri

Coach: Quique Sánchez Flores

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,74
U
3,18
B ✓
2,75
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,17
U2,5 ✓
1,70
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Alejandro Muniz Ruiz · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.