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Super League
Referee: L Tschudi
Lausanne
S U T T U
4–1
Full-time
Yverdon
T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lausanne Yverdon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 32%
41%
23%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
59%
41%
Both score Ø 46%
50%
41%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,6
0,9
Conceded
1,3
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

2,12 xG 0,87
59% Possession 41%
14 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 21
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lausanne 6. · Yverdon 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Basel 22 12 4 6 +26 +15.8 40
2 Lugano 22 11 5 6 +7 +2.2 38
3 Luzern 22 10 6 6 +6 +5.4 36
4 Servette 22 8 9 5 +2 +0.4 33
5 Zurich 22 9 6 7 -1 -5.1 33
6 Lausanne 22 9 5 8 +7 +10.8 32
7 St. Gallen 22 8 8 6 +6 -4.4 32
8 Young Boys 22 8 7 7 +2 +5.8 31
9 Sion 22 7 6 9 -1 +5.1 27
10 Grasshoppers 22 4 9 9 -9 -5.1 21
11 Yverdon 22 5 6 11 -15 -15.0 21
12 Winterthur 22 3 5 14 -30 -15.9 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lausanne Yverdon
16′
🟨 Moussa Baradji
1–0 A. Ajdini
A. Sanches
27′
2–0 A. Sanches
T. Okou
32′
2–1 M. Baradji
own goal
36′
45′
Ronaldo Tavares 2–2
M. Baradji
Half-time 2–2
F. Diabaté 🔁
↦ A. Balde
66′
K. Sène 🔁
↦ A. Ajdini
66′
67′
🔁 H. Komano
↦ V. Tasar
3–2 A. Sanches
72′
74′
🔁 M. Aké
↦ M. Łęgowski
79′
🔁 F. Sylla
↦ A. Marchesano
79′
🔁 A. Sauthier
↦ J. Gnakpa
K. de la Fuente 🔁
↦ T. Okou
82′
F. Oviedo 🔁
↦ A. Sanches
82′
M. Senaya 🔁
↦ R. Giger
87′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Lausanne

4-3-3
25 K. Letica G
34 R. Giger D
71 K. Sow D
6 N. Dussenne D
18 M. Poaty D
80 A. Sanches M
8 J. Roche M
5 K. Koindredi M
92 T. Okou F
7 A. Ajdini F
70 A. Balde F
Bench (9)
11 F. Diabaté
9 K. Sène
23 K. de la Fuente
39 F. Oviedo
19 M. Senaya
10 O. Custodio
93 S. Fofana
94 T. Hottiger
14 K. Mouanga

Coach: L. Magnin

Yverdon

4-3-3
40 P. Bernardoni G
24 J. Gnakpa D
23 N. Gunnarsson D
25 Christian Marques D
6 W. Le Pogam D
8 M. Łęgowski M
15 C. Nuñez M
28 M. Baradji M
27 V. Tasar F
20 Ronaldo Tavares F
19 A. Marchesano F
Bench (9)
21 H. Komano
9 M. Aké
37 F. Sylla
32 A. Sauthier
18 V. Kongsro
22 K. Martin
7 Mauro Rodrigues
30 S. Tavares
5 M. Grødem

Coach: P. Tramezzani

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Tschudi · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.