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Super League
Referee: A Jaccottet
Luzern
T T S T U
4–0
Full-time
Vaduz
T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Vaduz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
This season — Super League · 17/18 matches
Win Ø 21%
24%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
71%
33%
Both score Ø 63%
76%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,4
Scored
1,5
0,9
Conceded
1,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

51% Possession 49%
13 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 7
2 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Luzern 9. · Vaduz 10. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 18 12 5 1 +17 41
2 Basel 19 9 4 6 +4 31
3 Lugano 18 5 11 2 +2 26
4 Zurich 19 7 4 8 +2 25
5 St. Gallen 19 6 7 6 +0 25
6 Servette 19 6 6 7 -4 24
7 Lausanne 19 6 5 8 -1 23
8 Sion 20 4 9 7 -6 21
9 Luzern 17 4 5 8 -2 17
10 Vaduz 18 3 6 9 -12 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Nov -20 Luzern – Vaduz 1–1

Match report

Luzern Vaduz
15′
🟨 Denis Simani
1–0 P. Schürpf ⚽
L. Schaub
24′
2–0 F. Ugrinic ⚽
L. Schaub
31′
Simon Grether 🟨
35′
Half-time 2–0
I. Ndiaye 🔁
↦ S. Grether
46′
46′
🔁 D. Đokić
↦ C. Gasser
Martin Frýdek 🟨
51′
Christian Schwegler 🟨
55′
L. Emini 🔁
↦ J. Wehrmann
59′
3–0 D. Sorgić ⚽
P. Schürpf
60′
61′
🔁 M. Coulibaly
↦ M. Sutter
V. Tasar 🔁
↦ D. Sorgić
71′
73′
🟨 Joel Schmied
75′
🔁 N. Hug
↦ L. Obexer
75′
🔁 M. Di Giusto
↦ T. Çiçek
4–0 I. Ndiaye ⚽
78′
S. Sidler 🔁
↦ P. Schürpf
83′
83′
🔁 B. Prokopič
↦ M. Gajić
90′
🟨 Mohamed Coulibaly
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Luzern

4-3-3
32 M. Müller G
27 C. Schwegler D
17 S. Grether M
15 M. Schulz D
46 M. Burch D
11 P. Schürpf F
10 L. Schaub F
13 M. Frýdek D
3 J. Wehrmann M
19 F. Ugrinic M
9 D. Sorgić F
Bench (7)
7 I. Ndiaye
31 L. Emini
16 V. Tasar
34 S. Sidler
21 A. Balaruban
1 D. Zibung
6 M. Bürki

Coach: F. Celestini

Vaduz

3-5-1-1
1 B. Büchel G
4 D. Simani D
21 P. Dorn M
15 Y. Schmid D
27 L. Obexer M
24 C. Gasser M
5 J. Schmied D
14 M. Gajić M
30 G. Lüchinger M
9 M. Sutter F
11 T. Çiçek F
Bench (7)
19 D. Đokić
10 M. Coulibaly
22 N. Hug
7 M. Di Giusto
28 B. Prokopič
6 F. Rahimi
18 J. Ospelt

Coach: M. Frick

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Jaccottet · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.