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Super League

Referee: S Scharer

Luzern

S S T T U

1–0

Full-time

Lausanne

T T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Lausanne

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,5

2,7

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

1,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

100%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,7

2,3

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

2,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,7

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,13 xG 0,43

48% Possession 52%

17 Shots 6

7 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

7 Corners 2

2 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 19

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Luzern 11. · Lausanne 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	3	3	0	0	+9	+2.8	9
2	Young Boys	3	2	1	0	+8	+3.8	7
3	St. Gallen	3	2	1	0	+2	+2.6	7
4	Sion	3	2	0	1	+2	+1.9	6
5	Basel	3	2	0	1	+2	+1.7	6
6	Lausanne	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.2	5
7	Servette	3	1	0	2	-1	+0.6	3
8	Zurich	3	1	0	2	-5	-2.0	3
9	Thun	3	1	0	2	-6	-4.1	3
10	Grasshoppers	3	0	1	2	-4	-1.4	1
11	Luzern	3	0	1	2	-5	-3.4	1
12	Vaduz	3	0	0	3	-3	-2.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	2	2	0	0	+6	+2.5	6
2	Sion	2	2	0	0	+4	+3.4	6
3	St. Gallen	2	1	1	0	+1	+2.4	4
4	Young Boys	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.5	3
5	Basel	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.1	3
6	Zurich	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.1	3
7	Servette	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.5	3
8	Lausanne	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.5	2
9	Vaduz	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
10	Luzern	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.9	0
11	Grasshoppers	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.3	0
12	Thun	1	0	0	1	-6	-2.8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	2	1	1	0	+6	+2.3	4
2	Lugano	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.3	3
3	St. Gallen	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
4	Lausanne	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.7	3
5	Basel	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
6	Thun	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.3	3
7	Grasshoppers	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.1	1
8	Luzern	2	0	1	1	-3	-4.3	1
9	Servette	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
10	Vaduz	2	0	0	2	-2	-2.0	0
11	Sion	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0
12	Zurich	2	0	0	2	-6	-2.0	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.