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Premier League

Referee: J Moss

West Brom

U T U T T

3–3

Full-time

Chelsea

S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

West Brom Chelsea

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,2

3,3

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

2,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,3

This season — Premier League · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

5,0

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

4,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-3,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

24% Possession 76%

9 Shots 22

3 Shots on target 10

2 Blocked shots 6

7 Goalkeeper saves 0

3 Corners 9

1 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match West Brom 20. · Chelsea 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	P
1	Everton	3	3	0	+5	9
2	Leicester	2	2	0	+5	6
3	Arsenal	2	2	0	+4	6
4	Liverpool	2	2	0	+3	6
5	Crystal Palace	3	2	1	+2	6
6	Tottenham	2	1	1	+2	3
7	Man City	1	1	0	+2	3
8	Aston Villa	1	1	0	+1	3
9	Leeds	2	1	1	+0	3
10	Brighton	3	1	2	+0	3
11	Wolves	2	1	1	+0	3
12	Chelsea	2	1	1	+0	3
13	Man United	2	1	1	-1	3
14	Newcastle	2	1	1	-1	3
15	Burnley	1	0	1	-2	0
16	West Ham	2	0	2	-3	0
17	Sheffield United	2	0	2	-3	0
18	Fulham	2	0	2	-4	0
19	Southampton	2	0	2	-4	0
20	West Brom	2	0	2	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	P
1	Everton	1	1	0	+3	3
2	Leicester	1	1	0	+2	3
3	Liverpool	1	1	0	+1	3
4	Leeds	1	1	0	+1	3
5	Arsenal	1	1	0	+1	3
6	Aston Villa	1	1	0	+1	3
7	Crystal Palace	2	1	1	+0	3
8	Tottenham	1	0	1	-1	0
9	Wolves	1	0	1	-2	0
10	Man United	1	0	1	-2	0
11	West Ham	1	0	1	-2	0
12	Sheffield United	1	0	1	-2	0
13	Chelsea	1	0	1	-2	0
14	Brighton	2	0	2	-3	0
15	Southampton	1	0	1	-3	0
16	Newcastle	1	0	1	-3	0
17	Fulham	1	0	1	-3	0
18	West Brom	1	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	P
1	Everton	2	2	0	+2	6
2	Tottenham	1	1	0	+3	3
3	Brighton	1	1	0	+3	3
4	Arsenal	1	1	0	+3	3
5	Leicester	1	1	0	+3	3
6	Chelsea	1	1	0	+2	3
7	Man City	1	1	0	+2	3
8	Crystal Palace	1	1	0	+2	3
9	Newcastle	1	1	0	+2	3
10	Wolves	1	1	0	+2	3
11	Liverpool	1	1	0	+2	3
12	Man United	1	1	0	+1	3
13	Leeds	1	0	1	-1	0
14	Fulham	1	0	1	-1	0
15	West Ham	1	0	1	-1	0
16	Southampton	1	0	1	-1	0
17	Sheffield United	1	0	1	-1	0
18	Burnley	1	0	1	-2	0
19	West Brom	1	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.