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Ligue 1
Referee: B Bastien
St Etienne
U S S S U
0–3
Full-time
Rennes
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Rennes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,8
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
1,5
2,7
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,8
This season — Ligue 1 · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 75%
75%
75%
Points per game
2,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
25%
75%
Both score Ø 63%
25%
100%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
2,0
2,3
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

47% Possession 53%
6 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 4
5 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Etienne 2. · Rennes 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lille 5 3 2 0 +4 11
2 St Etienne 4 3 1 0 +6 10
3 Rennes 4 3 1 0 +4 10
4 Montpellier 4 3 0 1 +5 9
5 Lens 4 3 0 1 +2 9
6 Monaco 4 2 1 1 +1 7
7 Marseille 4 2 1 1 +0 7
8 Paris SG 4 2 0 2 +2 6
9 Brest 4 2 0 2 -2 6
10 Nice 4 2 0 2 -2 6
11 Angers 4 2 0 2 -3 6
12 Lyon 4 1 2 1 +2 5
13 Bordeaux 4 1 2 1 +1 5
14 Nantes 5 1 2 2 -2 5
15 Nimes 4 1 1 2 +1 4
16 Lorient 4 1 0 3 -2 3
17 Metz 4 1 0 3 -2 3
18 Strasbourg 4 1 0 3 -5 3
19 Reims 4 0 1 3 -3 1
20 Dijon 4 0 0 4 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Etienne Rennes
33′
N. Aguerd 0–1
B. Bourigeaud
Half-time 0–1
W. Fofana 🔁
↦ A. Moueffek
46′
Y. Neyou Noupa 🔁
↦ Z. Youssouf
46′
53′
S. Guirassy 0–2
R. Del Castillo
J. Krasso 🔁
↦ A. Aouchiche
61′
68′
🟨 Steven​ N'Zonzi
70′
🔁 Raphinha
↦ R. Del Castillo
70′
🔁 F. Tait
↦ M. Terrier
M. Rivera 🔁
↦ A. Nordin
73′
T. Tormin 🔁
↦ D. Bouanga
81′
84′
🔁 J. Martin
↦ B. Bourigeaud
84′
🔁 A. Hunou
↦ S. Guirassy
89′
A. Hunou 0–3
Raphinha
Yvan Neyou 🟨
90′
92′
🔁 G. Rutter
↦ E. Camavinga
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

St Etienne

4-4-2
30 J. Moulin G
5 T. Kolodziejczak D
2 H. Moukoudi D
27 Y. Maçon D
8 M. Camara M
28 Z. Youssouf M
34 A. Moueffek D
17 A. Aouchiche M
21 R. Hamouma F
20 D. Bouanga M
18 A. Nordin F
Bench (9)
3 W. Fofana
19 Y. Neyou Noupa
14 J. Krasso
32 M. Rivera
35 T. Tormin
22 K. Monnet-Paquet
31 N. Sissoko
1 S. Bajic
33 L. Gourna-Douath

Coach: C. Puel

Rennes

4-1-4-1
1 R. Salin G
3 D. Da Silva D
27 H. Traoré D
6 N. Aguerd D
34 B. Soppy D
15 S. Nzonzi M
14 B. Bourigeaud M
21 M. Terrier M
10 E. Camavinga M
18 S. Guirassy F
22 R. Del Castillo M
Bench (9)
7 Raphinha
20 F. Tait
28 J. Martin
23 A. Hunou
35 G. Rutter
30 P. Bonet
2 S. Boey
26 J. Gelin
24 L. Brassier

Coach: J. Stéphan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,84
U
3,12
B ✓
2,62
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,20
U2,5
1,67
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Bastien · 180 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.