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Serie A
Referee: F Dionisi
Sampdoria
T T T U T
2–3
Full-time
Benevento
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Benevento
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
2,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

40% Possession 60%
5 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 4
4 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genoa 1 1 0 0 +3 3
2 Juventus 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Verona 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Atalanta 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Napoli 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Milan 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Fiorentina 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Sassuolo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Cagliari 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Parma 1 0 0 1 -2 0
11 Bologna 1 0 0 1 -2 0
12 Torino 2 0 0 2 -3 0
13 Crotone 1 0 0 1 -3 0
14 Sampdoria 1 0 0 1 -3 0
15 Roma 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sampdoria Benevento
1–0 F. Quagliarella
F. Bonazzoli
8′
2–0 O. Colley
A. Candreva
18′
Tommaso Augello 🟨
32′
33′
L. Caldirola 2–1
Half-time 2–1
Lorenzo Tonelli 🟨
48′
56′
🟨 Bryan Dabo
M. Thorsby 🔁
↦ V. Verre
59′
F. Depaoli 🔁
↦ A. Candreva
59′
59′
🔁 R. Improta
↦ B. Dabo
G. Ramírez 🔁
↦ F. Bonazzoli
63′
72′
L. Caldirola 2–2
G. Caprari
75′
🔁 M. Sau
↦ G. Caprari
75′
🔁 G. Lapadula
↦ G. Moncini
81′
🔁 A. Tuia
↦ D. Foulon
81′
🔁 P. Hetemaj
↦ R. Insigne
M. Gabbiadini 🔁
↦ F. Quagliarella
83′
88′
G. Letizia 2–3
M. Sau
Gastón Ramírez 🟨
89′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Sampdoria

4-4-2
1 E. Audero G
24 B. Bereszyński D
21 L. Tonelli D
15 O. Colley D
3 T. Augello D
87 A. Candreva M
6 A. Ekdal M
8 V. Verre M
14 J. Jankto M
27 F. Quagliarella F
9 F. Bonazzoli F
Bench (12)
18 M. Thorsby
12 F. Depaoli
11 G. Ramírez
23 M. Gabbiadini
38 M. Damsgaard
30 N. Ravaglia
16 K. Askildsen
4 R. Vieira Nan
22 M. Yoshida
25 A. Ferrari
26 M. Léris
19 V. Regini

Coach: C. Ranieri

Benevento

4-3-3
1 L. Montipò G
15 K. Glik D
5 L. Caldirola D
3 G. Letizia D
18 D. Foulon D
29 A. Ioniţă M
28 P. Schiattarella M
14 B. Dabo M
17 G. Caprari F
19 R. Insigne F
21 G. Moncini F
Bench (12)
16 R. Improta
25 M. Sau
9 G. Lapadula
13 A. Tuia
56 P. Hetemaj
72 D. Vokić
11 C. Maggio
4 L. Del Pinto
12 N. Manfredini
22 I. Lucatelli
20 G. Di Serio
58 C. Pastina

Coach: F. Inzaghi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,02
U
3,52
B ✓
3,69
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,81
U2,5
1,99
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Dionisi · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
29,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.