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Bundesliga
Referee: T Reichel
Union Berlin
U U S S S
3–3
Full-time
Ein Frankfurt
U T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Union Berlin Ein Frankfurt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
2,7
1,2
Conceded
0,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 38%
50%
25%
Points per game
1,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
63%
50%
Both score Ø 82%
75%
88%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
2,3
1,4
Conceded
1,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

44% Possession 56%
15 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 5
4 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Union Berlin 6. · Ein Frankfurt 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 8 6 1 1 +16 19
2 Dortmund 8 6 0 2 +13 18
3 Leverkusen 8 5 3 0 +7 18
4 RB Leipzig 8 5 2 1 +11 17
5 Wolfsburg 9 4 5 0 +6 17
6 Union Berlin 8 4 3 1 +10 15
7 M'gladbach 8 3 3 2 +0 12
8 Stuttgart 8 2 5 1 +4 11
9 Augsburg 8 3 2 3 -1 11
10 Werder Bremen 9 2 5 2 -2 11
11 Ein Frankfurt 8 2 5 1 -2 11
12 Hoffenheim 8 2 2 4 -1 8
13 Hertha 8 2 1 5 -3 7
14 Freiburg 8 1 3 4 -10 6
15 Mainz 8 1 1 6 -11 4
16 Bielefeld 8 1 1 6 -12 4
17 FC Koln 8 0 3 5 -6 3
18 Schalke 04 8 0 3 5 -19 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Union Berlin Ein Frankfurt
1–0 R. Andrich ⚽
2′
2–0 M. Kruse ⚽
6′
27′
⚽ André Silva 2–1
D. Kamada
36′
⚽ André Silva 2–2
F. Kostić
Half-time 2–2
Grischa Prömel 🟨
57′
60′
🟨 Djibril Sow
Christopher Lenz 🟨
61′
62′
🟨 Evan N'Dicka
A. Gogia 🔁
↦ S. Becker
73′
78′
🔁 D. da Costa
↦ E. Durm
79′
⚽ B. Dost 2–3
D. Kamada
81′
🟨 Stefan Ilsanker
3–3 M. Kruse ⚽
C. Trimmel
82′
M. Bülter 🔁
↦ M. Ingvartsen
84′
S. Griesbeck 🔁
↦ G. Prömel
84′
87′
🔁 S. Rode
↦ D. Sow
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Union Berlin

4-2-3-1
1 A. Luthe G
28 C. Trimmel D
31 R. Knoche D
25 C. Lenz D
5 M. Friedrich D
30 R. Andrich M
21 G. Prömel M
10 M. Kruse M
27 S. Becker M
32 M. Ingvartsen M
14 T. Awoniyi F
Bench (8)
7 A. Gogia
15 M. Bülter
33 S. Griesbeck
16 T. Maciejewski
20 L. Karius
19 F. Hübner
23 N. Gießelmann
6 J. Ryerson

Coach: U. Fischer

Ein Frankfurt

3-4-1-2
1 K. Trapp G
19 D. Abraham D
13 M. Hinteregger D
25 E. Durm M
2 O. N'Dicka D
3 S. Ilsanker M
10 F. Kostić M
8 D. Sow M
15 D. Kamada F
9 B. Dost F
33 André Silva F
Bench (9)
24 D. da Costa
17 S. Rode
11 S. Zuber
28 D. Kohr
7 A. Hrustic
23 M. Schubert
20 M. Hasebe
35 Tuta
18 A. Touré

Coach: A. Hütter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,51
U ✓
3,52
B
2,73
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
1,65
U2,5
2,25
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

T Reichel · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.