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Bundesliga
Referee: R Schröder
Union Berlin
S T U S U
1–1
Full-time
Freiburg
S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Union Berlin Freiburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 25%
25%
25%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
75%
75%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

50% Possession 50%
22 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Union Berlin 10. · Freiburg 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 RB Leipzig 4 3 1 0 +8 10
2 Bayern Munich 4 3 0 1 +9 9
3 Dortmund 4 3 0 1 +6 9
4 Stuttgart 5 2 2 1 +4 8
5 Ein Frankfurt 4 2 2 0 +3 8
6 Augsburg 4 2 1 1 +2 7
7 Werder Bremen 4 2 1 1 +0 7
8 Hoffenheim 4 2 0 2 +2 6
9 Leverkusen 4 1 3 0 +1 6
10 Union Berlin 4 1 2 1 +2 5
11 M'gladbach 4 1 2 1 -1 5
12 Freiburg 4 1 2 1 -3 5
13 Wolfsburg 4 0 4 0 +0 4
14 Bielefeld 4 1 1 2 -3 4
15 Hertha 4 1 0 3 -2 3
16 FC Koln 5 0 2 3 -4 2
17 Schalke 04 4 0 1 3 -14 1
18 Mainz 4 0 0 4 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Union Berlin Freiburg
34′
V. Grifo 0–1
C. Günter
1–1 R. Andrich
M. Kruse
36′
Marcus Ingvartsen 🟨
39′
Half-time 1–1
M. Bülter 🔁
↦ M. Ingvartsen
59′
61′
🔁 L. Tempelmann
↦ B. Santamaría
69′
🟨 Lino Tempelmann
T. Awoniyi 🔁
↦ J. Pohjanpalo
71′
S. Griesbeck 🔁
↦ C. Gentner
71′
K. Endo 🔁
↦ S. Becker
71′
77′
🟨 Roland Sallai
78′
🔁 Kwon Chang-Hoon
↦ R. Sallai
78′
🔁 Jeong Woo-Yeong
↦ V. Grifo
80′
🟨 Philipp Lienhart
J. Ryerson 🔁
↦ C. Trimmel
80′
87′
🔁 E. Demirović
↦ N. Petersen
88′
🟨 Nicolas Höfler
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Union Berlin

4-2-3-1
1 A. Luthe G
28 C. Trimmel D
31 R. Knoche D
25 C. Lenz D
5 M. Friedrich D
34 C. Gentner M
30 R. Andrich M
10 M. Kruse M
9 J. Pohjanpalo F
27 S. Becker M
32 M. Ingvartsen M
Bench (9)
15 M. Bülter
14 T. Awoniyi
33 S. Griesbeck
18 K. Endo
6 J. Ryerson
19 F. Hübner
23 N. Gießelmann
36 C. Teuchert
35 L. Moser

Coach: U. Fischer

Freiburg

4-4-2
21 F. Müller G
23 D. Heintz D
30 C. Günter D
3 P. Lienhart D
27 N. Höfler M
7 J. Schmid D
32 V. Grifo M
8 B. Santamaría M
22 R. Sallai M
18 N. Petersen F
9 L. Höler F
Bench (9)
34 L. Tempelmann
28 Kwon Chang-Hoon
29 Jeong Woo-Yeong
11 E. Demirović
5 M. Gulde
1 B. Uphoff
36 Y. Keitel
31 K. Schlotterbeck
17 L. Kübler

Coach: C. Streich

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,27
U ✓
3,41
B
3,16
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,81
U2,5 ✓
2,01
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Schröder · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.