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Ligue 1
Referee: A Petit
Dijon
U T T T T
0–2
Full-time
Nimes
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dijon Nimes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,8
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,7
2,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,8
This season — Ligue 1 · 24/23 matches
Win Ø 13%
8%
17%
Points per game
0,6
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
33%
61%
Both score Ø 41%
42%
39%
Average goals
2,2
3,1
Scored
0,7
0,9
Conceded
1,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
10 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 0
1 Offside 4
17 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dijon 19. · Nimes 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 25 17 3 5 +42 54
2 Lille 24 16 6 2 +27 54
3 Lyon 25 15 7 3 +29 52
4 Monaco 25 15 4 6 +15 49
5 Rennes 23 10 8 5 +7 38
6 Lens 25 10 7 8 +1 37
7 Metz 24 9 8 7 +6 35
8 Montpellier 25 10 5 10 -4 35
9 Angers 24 10 4 10 -8 34
10 Marseille 22 9 6 7 +3 33
11 Bordeaux 24 9 5 10 -2 32
12 Brest 24 9 3 12 -7 30
13 Reims 25 7 8 10 -2 29
14 Nice 24 8 5 11 -5 29
15 St Etienne 24 6 8 10 -13 26
16 Strasbourg 24 7 4 13 -7 25
17 Lorient 24 6 5 13 -15 23
18 Nantes 24 3 10 11 -17 19
19 Dijon 24 2 9 13 -19 15
20 Nimes 23 4 3 16 -31 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dijon Nimes
42′
🟨 Zinedine Ferhat
Half-time 0–0
47′
🔁 K. Guessoum
↦ F. Miguel
Mounir Chouiar 🟨
49′
Wesley Lautoa 🟨
61′
E. Ebimbe 🔁
↦ A. Kamara
62′
74′
🔁 N. Eliasson
↦ M. Koné
76′
R. Ripart 0–1
L. Deaux
F. Sammaritano 🔁
↦ B. Celina
77′
M. Konaté 🔁
↦ M. Chouiar
77′
Frédéric Sammaritano 🟨
79′
A. Chalá 🔁
↦ G. Ngonda
85′
87′
N. Eliasson 0–2
B. Meling
88′
🔁 L. Fomba
↦ Y. Benrahou
Didier N'Dong 🟨
90′
Frédéric Sammaritano 🟥
90′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Dijon

4-2-3-1
1 A. Racioppi G
25 B. Écuélé Manga D
24 W. Lautoa M
3 G. Ngonda D
5 S. Coulibaly D
2 S. Boey D
9 B. Celina M
22 D. Ndong M
17 Mama Baldé F
27 A. Kamara M
21 M. Chouiar M
Bench (9)
8 E. Ebimbe
7 F. Sammaritano
11 M. Konaté
13 A. Chalá
14 J. Marié
4 J. Panzo
16 S. Allagbé
6 P. Diop
29 M. Dobre

Coach: D. Linarès

Nimes

4-1-4-1
30 B. Reynet G
23 A. Briançon D
3 B. Meling D
26 F. Miguel D
29 S. Alakouch D
8 L. Deaux M
10 Z. Ferhat M
18 A. Cubas M
22 Y. Benrahou M
20 R. Ripart M
28 M. Koné F
Bench (9)
2 K. Guessoum
7 N. Eliasson
12 L. Fomba
13 K. Aribi
11 M. Ahlinvi
21 P. Burner
17 H. Duljević
27 N. Ueda
40 A. Nazih

Coach: P. Plancque

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,48
U
3,39
B ✓
2,81
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,87
U2,5 ✓
1,93
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Petit · 101 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.