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Serie A
Referee: P Giacomelli
Roma
U T S S T
3–0
Full-time
Udinese
T U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Udinese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,0
1,8
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
This season — Serie A · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 43%
57%
29%
Points per game
1,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
76%
43%
Both score Ø 55%
57%
52%
Average goals
3,8
2,4
Scored
2,1
1,1
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

52% Possession 48%
12 Shots 6
8 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 2
0 Offside 6
17 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Roma 5. · Udinese 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Milan 22 15 4 3 +20 49
2 Inter 21 14 5 2 +28 47
3 Juventus 21 12 6 3 +22 42
4 Napoli 21 13 1 7 +24 40
5 Roma 21 12 4 5 +9 40
6 Lazio 21 12 4 5 +9 40
7 Atalanta 21 10 7 4 +19 37
8 Sassuolo 21 8 7 6 +2 31
9 Verona 21 8 6 7 +3 30
10 Sampdoria 21 8 3 10 -1 27
11 Genoa 22 6 7 9 -7 25
12 Udinese 21 6 6 9 -5 24
13 Bologna 22 6 6 10 -7 24
14 Spezia 22 6 6 10 -8 24
15 Benevento 22 6 6 10 -17 24
16 Fiorentina 21 5 7 9 -12 22
17 Torino 22 2 11 9 -9 17
18 Cagliari 21 3 6 12 -15 15
19 Parma 21 2 7 12 -27 13
20 Crotone 21 3 3 15 -28 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Roma Udinese
1–0 J. Veretout
G. Mancini
5′
2–0 J. Veretout
25′
Lorenzo Pellegrini ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
30′
Half-time 2–0
Lorenzo Pellegrini 🟨
56′
62′
🔁 N. Molina
↦ J. Stryger Larsen
63′
🔁 S. Okaka
↦ Llorente
E. Džeko 🔁
↦ Borja Mayoral
69′
Jordan Veretout 🟨
71′
74′
🔁 J. Makengo
↦ T. Arslan
74′
🔁 T. Ouwejan
↦ M. Zeegelaar
Pedro 🔁
↦ J. Veretout
78′
85′
🔁 I. Nestorovski
↦ Walace
A. Diawara 🔁
↦ L. Pellegrini
87′
Bruno Peres 🔁
↦ L. Spinazzola
87′
3–0 Pedro
E. Džeko
93′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Roma

3-4-2-1
13 Pau López G
37 L. Spinazzola M
2 R. Karsdorp M
23 G. Mancini D
3 Ibañez D
77 H. Mkhitaryan F
17 J. Veretout M
4 B. Cristante D
7 L. Pellegrini F
14 Gonzalo Villar M
21 Borja Mayoral F
Bench (11)
9 E. Džeko
11 Pedro
42 A. Diawara
33 Bruno Peres
92 S. El Shaarawy
31 Carles Pérez
20 F. Fazio
18 D. Santon
27 J. Pastore
83 A. Mirante
87 Daniel Fuzato

Coach: Paulo Fonseca

Udinese

3-5-2
1 J. Musso G
90 M. Zeegelaar M
19 J. Stryger Larsen M
17 B. Nuytinck D
3 Samir D
14 K. Bonifazi D
22 T. Arslan M
10 R. De Paul M
11 Walace M
32 Llorente F
9 Deulofeu F
Bench (11)
16 N. Molina
7 S. Okaka
6 J. Makengo
5 T. Ouwejan
30 I. Nestorovski
21 J. Braaf
29 P. Mićin
87 S. De Maio
31 M. Gasparini
50 Rodrigo Becão
96 S. Scuffet

Coach: L. Gotti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,72
U
3,85
B
4,81
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,73
U2,5
2,10
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P Giacomelli · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.