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Bundesliga
Referee: P Ittrich
Hertha
T S T S U
2–2
Full-time
M'gladbach
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha M'gladbach
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 30%
22%
37%
Points per game
0,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
56%
63%
Both score Ø 63%
52%
74%
Average goals
2,9
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

62% Possession 38%
23 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
11 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Hertha 15. · M'gladbach 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 27 20 4 3 +44 64
2 RB Leipzig 27 17 6 4 +26 57
3 Wolfsburg 27 15 9 3 +24 54
4 Ein Frankfurt 27 13 11 3 +18 50
5 Dortmund 27 13 4 10 +16 43
6 Leverkusen 27 12 7 8 +13 43
7 Union Berlin 27 9 12 6 +8 39
8 Stuttgart 27 10 9 8 +7 39
9 M'gladbach 27 10 9 8 +5 39
10 Freiburg 28 10 7 11 -2 37
11 Augsburg 27 9 5 13 -12 32
12 Hoffenheim 27 8 6 13 -6 30
13 Werder Bremen 27 7 9 11 -8 30
14 Bielefeld 28 7 5 16 -24 26
15 Hertha 27 6 7 14 -14 25
16 Mainz 27 6 7 14 -19 25
17 FC Koln 27 5 8 14 -22 23
18 Schalke 04 27 1 7 19 -54 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hertha M'gladbach
13′
🟥 Yann Sommer
17′
🔁 T. Sippel
↦ O. Wendt
Deyovaisio Zeefuik 🟨
20′
1–0 S. Ascacíbar
J. Córdoba
23′
27′
A. Plea 1–1
38′
L. Stindl 1–2
Maximilian Mittelstädt 🟨
40′
Half-time 1–2
N. Radonjić 🔁
↦ D. Zeefuik
46′
K. Piątek 🔁
↦ D. Lukébakio
46′
M. Plattenhardt 🔁
↦ M. Mittelstädt
46′
2–2 J. Córdoba
Matheus Cunha
49′
Jhon Córdoba ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
51′
S. Khedira 🔁
↦ S. Ascacíbar
57′
60′
🔁 V. Lazaro
↦ L. Stindl
77′
🔁 B. Embolo
↦ M. Thuram
77′
🔁 P. Herrmann
↦ R. Bensebaini
81′
🟨 Christoph Kramer
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Hertha

3-4-3
1 A. Schwolow G
5 N. Stark D
13 L. Klünter D
17 M. Mittelstädt M
42 D. Zeefuik M
31 M. Dárdai D
18 S. Ascacíbar M
8 M. Guendouzi M
15 J. Córdoba F
11 D. Lukébakio F
10 Matheus Cunha F
Bench (9)
24 N. Radonjić
9 K. Piątek
21 M. Plattenhardt
28 S. Khedira
14 O. Alderete
25 J. Torunarigha
12 N. Körber
2 P. Pekarík
7 M. Leckie

Coach: P. Dárdai

M'gladbach

3-4-3
1 Y. Sommer G
17 O. Wendt M
18 S. Lainer M
28 M. Ginter D
25 R. Bensebaini D
13 L. Stindl F
6 C. Kramer M
32 F. Neuhaus M
8 D. Zakaria D
14 A. Plea F
10 M. Thuram F
Bench (9)
21 T. Sippel
19 V. Lazaro
36 B. Embolo
7 P. Herrmann
3 M. Lang
16 I. Traoré
24 T. Jantschke
15 L. Beyer
11 H. Wolf

Coach: M. Rose

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,15
U ✓
3,50
B
2,26
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,74
U2,5
2,10
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Ittrich · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.