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Bundesliga
Referee: C Dingert
Bielefeld
U T S S U
2–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bielefeld Greuther Furth
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,2
3,5
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,0
2,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,8
This season — Bundesliga · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 12%
17%
6%
Points per game
0,9
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 53%
50%
56%
Average goals
2,2
3,4
Scored
0,9
0,7
Conceded
1,3
2,7
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-2,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

44% Possession 56%
13 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 5
0 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 6
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bielefeld 17. · Greuther Furth 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 19 15 1 3 +43 46
2 Dortmund 19 13 1 5 +20 40
3 Leverkusen 19 9 5 5 +13 32
4 Hoffenheim 19 9 4 6 +10 31
5 Union Berlin 19 8 7 4 +3 31
6 Freiburg 19 8 6 5 +8 30
7 RB Leipzig 19 8 4 7 +13 28
8 Ein Frankfurt 19 7 7 5 +2 28
9 FC Koln 19 7 7 5 -2 28
10 Mainz 19 8 3 8 +6 27
11 Bochum 19 7 2 10 -10 23
12 M'gladbach 19 6 4 9 -10 22
13 Hertha 19 6 4 9 -17 22
14 Wolfsburg 19 6 3 10 -13 21
15 Augsburg 19 4 7 8 -11 19
16 Stuttgart 19 4 6 9 -11 18
17 Bielefeld 18 3 8 7 -8 17
18 Greuther Furth 18 1 3 14 -36 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bielefeld Greuther Furth
1–0 M. Okugawa
F. Krüger
8′
31′
🟨 Gian-Luca Itter
35′
J. Leweling 1–1
B. Hrgota
Sebastian Vasiliadis 🟨
38′
Andrés Andrade 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–1
Joakim Nilsson 🟨
52′
R. Hack 🔁
↦ P. Wimmer
62′
M. Prietl 🔁
↦ S. Vasiliadis
62′
66′
🔁 J. Willems
↦ G. Itter
66′
🔁 H. Nielsen
↦ J. Dudziak
67′
H. Nielsen 1–2
P. Seguin
G. Castro 🔁
↦ A. Schöpf
75′
J. Serra 🔁
↦ F. Krüger
75′
81′
🔁 Afimico Pululu
↦ B. Hrgota
81′
🔁 M. Bauer
↦ J. Leweling
Guilherme Ramos 🔁
↦ C. Brunner
83′
2–2 G. Castro
83′
Guilherme Ramos 🟨
86′
94′
🔁 S. Asta
↦ T. Tillman
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Bielefeld

4-2-3-1
1 S. Ortega Moreno G
4 J. Nilsson D
27 C. Brunner D
2 A. Pieper D
30 A. Andrade D
8 A. Schöpf M
11 M. Okugawa M
39 S. Vasiliadis M
20 P. Wimmer M
10 B. Lasme F
18 F. Krüger M
Bench (9)
21 R. Hack
19 M. Prietl
7 G. Castro
23 J. Serra
3 Guilherme Ramos
16 F. Kunze
5 J. Laursen
22 E. Fernandes
13 S. Kapino

Coach: F. Kramer

Greuther Furth

4-3-1-2
30 S. Burchert G
24 N. Viergever D
18 M. Meyerhöfer D
27 G. Itter D
22 S. Griesbeck D
28 J. Dudziak M
13 M. Christiansen M
33 P. Seguin M
21 T. Tillman M
40 J. Leweling F
10 B. Hrgota F
Bench (9)
15 J. Willems
16 H. Nielsen
9 Afimico Pululu
4 M. Bauer
2 S. Asta
11 D. Abiama
32 A. Barry
26 A. Linde
37 J. Green

Coach: S. Leitl

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,98
U ✓
3,46
B
3,96
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,02
U2,5
1,81
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Dingert · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.