Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Bielefeld
Greuther Furth
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern Munich
|
19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | +43 | 46 |
| 2 |
Dortmund
|
19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | +20 | 40 |
| 3 |
Leverkusen
|
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | +13 | 32 |
| 4 |
Hoffenheim
|
19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | +10 | 31 |
| 5 |
Union Berlin
|
19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 31 |
| 6 |
Freiburg
|
19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | +8 | 30 |
| 7 |
RB Leipzig
|
19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | +13 | 28 |
| 8 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 28 |
| 9 |
FC Koln
|
19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | -2 | 28 |
| 10 |
Mainz
|
19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | +6 | 27 |
| 11 |
Bochum
|
19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | -10 | 23 |
| 12 |
M'gladbach
|
19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | -10 | 22 |
| 13 |
Hertha
|
19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | -17 | 22 |
| 14 |
Wolfsburg
|
19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | -13 | 21 |
| 15 |
Augsburg
|
19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -11 | 19 |
| 16 |
Stuttgart
|
19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | -11 | 18 |
| 17 |
Bielefeld
|
18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | -8 | 17 |
| 18 |
Greuther Furth
|
18 | 1 | 3 | 14 | -36 | 6 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
S. Ortega Moreno
G
A. Pieper
D
A. Andrade
D
A. Schöpf
M
P. Wimmer
M
Coach: F. Kramer
N. Viergever
D
G. Itter
D
S. Griesbeck
D
P. Seguin
M
J. Leweling
F
B. Hrgota
F
Coach: S. Leitl
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Freiburg
Bielefeld
RB Leipzig
Bielefeld
Bielefeld
Bochum
Hertha
Bielefeld
Bielefeld
FC Koln
C Dingert · 108 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.