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Premier League

Referee: J Moss

Liverpool

S S U T U

3–0

Full-time

Brentford

S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Liverpool Brentford

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,7

This season — Premier League · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 45%

60%

30%

Points per game

2,1

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

75%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

45%

55%

Average goals

3,5

2,7

Scored

2,6

1,2

Conceded

0,9

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

68% Possession 32%

27 Shots 6

13 Shots on target 1

6 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 10

9 Corners 0

2 Offside 7

6 Free kicks against 6

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Liverpool 3. · Brentford 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	22	18	2	2	+41	56
2	Chelsea	22	12	7	3	+28	43
3	Liverpool	20	12	6	2	+34	42
4	West Ham	21	11	4	6	+12	37
5	Arsenal	20	11	2	7	+8	35
6	Tottenham	18	10	3	5	+3	33
7	Man United	20	9	5	6	+3	32
8	Wolves	20	9	4	7	+2	31
9	Brighton	20	6	10	4	+0	28
10	Leicester	18	7	4	7	-2	25
11	Crystal Palace	21	5	9	7	-1	24
12	Southampton	21	5	9	7	-8	24
13	Aston Villa	20	7	2	11	-5	23
14	Brentford	20	6	5	9	-6	23
15	Everton	19	5	4	10	-10	19
16	Leeds	19	4	7	8	-16	19
17	Watford	19	4	2	13	-14	14
18	Norwich	21	3	4	14	-35	13
19	Newcastle	20	1	9	10	-23	12
20	Burnley	17	1	8	8	-11	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	11	9	1	1	+26	28
2	Arsenal	10	7	1	2	+10	22
3	Tottenham	10	7	1	2	+6	22
4	Liverpool	9	6	3	0	+16	21
5	Chelsea	11	5	5	1	+15	20
6	Crystal Palace	11	4	5	2	+8	17
7	West Ham	10	5	2	3	+5	17
8	Leicester	9	5	1	3	+4	16
9	Man United	10	5	1	4	+2	16
10	Southampton	10	3	6	1	+4	15
11	Aston Villa	10	4	2	4	+1	14
12	Wolves	10	4	2	4	+0	14
13	Brentford	10	4	1	5	+0	13
14	Everton	9	4	1	4	-1	13
15	Brighton	10	3	4	3	-1	13
16	Leeds	10	3	4	3	-3	13
17	Newcastle	11	1	6	4	-9	9
18	Norwich	11	2	2	7	-13	8
19	Burnley	7	1	4	2	+0	7
20	Watford	10	2	1	7	-11	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	11	9	1	1	+15	28
2	Chelsea	11	7	2	2	+13	23
3	Liverpool	11	6	3	2	+18	21
4	West Ham	11	6	2	3	+7	20
5	Wolves	10	5	2	3	+2	17
6	Man United	10	4	4	2	+1	16
7	Brighton	10	3	6	1	+1	15
8	Arsenal	10	4	1	5	-2	13
9	Tottenham	8	3	2	3	-3	11
10	Brentford	10	2	4	4	-6	10
11	Leicester	9	2	3	4	-6	9
12	Aston Villa	10	3	0	7	-6	9
13	Southampton	11	2	3	6	-12	9
14	Watford	9	2	1	6	-3	7
15	Crystal Palace	10	1	4	5	-9	7
16	Everton	10	1	3	6	-9	6
17	Leeds	9	1	3	5	-13	6
18	Norwich	10	1	2	7	-22	5
19	Burnley	10	0	4	6	-11	4
20	Newcastle	9	0	3	6	-14	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.