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Eredivisie
Referee: R Dieperink
For Sittard
T T S U T
1–2
Full-time
AZ Alkmaar
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

For Sittard AZ Alkmaar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,8
3,0
Scored
0,8
2,2
Conceded
3,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-2,2
+1,3
This season — Eredivisie · 18/16 matches
Win Ø 37%
17%
56%
Points per game
0,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
72%
69%
Both score Ø 65%
67%
63%
Average goals
3,6
3,4
Scored
1,1
2,0
Conceded
2,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

40% Possession 60%
15 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 6
8 Free kicks against 5
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match For Sittard 17. · AZ Alkmaar 8. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 19 15 1 3 +23 46
2 Ajax 19 14 3 2 +55 45
3 Feyenoord 19 12 3 4 +24 39
4 Twente 19 10 5 4 +8 35
5 Vitesse 17 10 2 5 +0 32
6 Utrecht 18 8 5 5 +8 29
7 Cambuur 19 9 2 8 -7 29
8 AZ Alkmaar 16 9 1 6 +10 28
9 Nijmegen 19 7 5 7 -2 26
10 Heerenveen 18 7 4 7 -5 25
11 Go Ahead Eagles 19 6 3 10 -12 21
12 Heracles 19 5 4 10 -5 19
13 Groningen 19 4 7 8 -8 19
14 Waalwijk 19 4 7 8 -9 19
15 Willem II 19 5 3 11 -20 18
16 Sparta Rotterdam 19 2 8 9 -12 14
17 For Sittard 18 3 4 11 -27 13
18 Zwolle 19 2 3 14 -21 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

For Sittard AZ Alkmaar
14′
⚽ S. Beukema 0–1
O. Wijndal
Half-time 0–1
Ivo Pinto 🔁
↦ A. Samaris
46′
61′
⚽ Y. Sugawara 0–2
D. de Wit
T. Tekie 🔁
↦ A. Ferati
62′
65′
🔁 H. Evjen
↦ A. Witry
T. Noslin 🔁
↦ R. Janssen
75′
80′
🔁 A. Guðmundsson
↦ V. Pavlidis
80′
🔁 T. Reijnders
↦ J. Clasie
1–2 B. Rienstra ⚽
D. Duarte
85′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

For Sittard

5-3-2
34 M. Verrips G
4 R. Janssen D
2 M. Angha D
25 M. Tirpan D
35 G. Cox D
22 A. Samaris D
23 B. Rienstra M
10 M. Seuntjens F
19 A. Ferati M
6 D. Duarte M
8 Z. Flemming F
Bench (10)
12 Ivo Pinto
14 T. Tekie
77 T. Noslin
29 R. Musaba
1 Y. van Osch
11 E. Hansson
28 R. Johansson
48 S. Hogervorst
21 Y. Çeltik
32 F. Dornebusch

Coach: S. Ultee

AZ Alkmaar

4-2-3-1
1 P. Vindahl G
3 P. Chatzidiakos D
15 A. Witry D
5 O. Wijndal D
2 Y. Sugawara M
31 S. Beukema D
20 J. Clasie M
6 F. Midtsjø M
10 D. de Wit M
9 V. Pavlidis F
11 J. Karlsson M
Bench (11)
18 H. Evjen
28 A. Guðmundsson
24 T. Reijnders
23 M. Taabouni
25 T. Oosting
12 H. Verhulst
21 E. Poku
16 B. Reus
14 P. Koopmeiners
32 F. de Jong
51 J. Berkhout

Coach: P. Jansen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
6,81
U
4,85
B ✓
1,42
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
1,53
U2,5
2,46
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

R Dieperink · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.