La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Elche
Villarreal
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Real Madrid
|
21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | +27 | 49 |
| 2 |
Sevilla
|
20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | +18 | 44 |
| 3 |
Betis
|
20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | +9 | 34 |
| 4 |
Ath Madrid
|
20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | +9 | 33 |
| 5 |
Sociedad
|
20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 33 |
| 6 |
Barcelona
|
20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | +8 | 32 |
| 7 |
Vallecano
|
20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | +6 | 31 |
| 8 |
Villarreal
|
20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | +11 | 29 |
| 9 |
Ath Bilbao
|
21 | 6 | 10 | 5 | +3 | 28 |
| 10 |
Valencia
|
20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | +0 | 28 |
| 11 |
Espanol
|
20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | -1 | 26 |
| 12 |
Osasuna
|
20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | -5 | 25 |
| 13 |
Granada
|
20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | -3 | 24 |
| 14 |
Celta
|
20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | -1 | 23 |
| 15 |
Mallorca
|
20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | -13 | 20 |
| 16 |
Elche
|
20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | -8 | 19 |
| 17 |
Getafe
|
20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -8 | 18 |
| 18 |
Alaves
|
20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -14 | 17 |
| 19 |
Cadiz
|
20 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -19 | 14 |
| 20 |
Levante
|
20 | 1 | 8 | 11 | -20 | 11 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
J. Mojica
D
Gumbau
M
Pere Milla
M
Tete Morente
M
Coach: Francisco
G. Rulli
G
Alberto Moreno
M
P. Estupiñán
D
Pau Torres
D
J. Foyth
D
Moi Gómez
M
Yeremi Pino
F
Gerard Moreno
F
Coach: Unai Emery
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Espanol
Elche
Elche
Granada
Barcelona
Elche
Valencia
Elche
Elche
Cadiz
Valentín Pizarro · 73 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.