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La Liga
Referee: Valentín Pizarro
Elche
S T T U S
1–0
Full-time
Villarreal
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elche Villarreal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,8
Scored
1,5
2,8
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,8
This season — La Liga · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 28%
20%
35%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 55%
60%
50%
Average goals
2,4
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
5 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 8
4 Offside 5
12 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Elche 16. · Villarreal 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 21 15 4 2 +27 49
2 Sevilla 20 13 5 2 +18 44
3 Betis 20 10 4 6 +9 34
4 Ath Madrid 20 9 6 5 +9 33
5 Sociedad 20 9 6 5 +1 33
6 Barcelona 20 8 8 4 +8 32
7 Vallecano 20 9 4 7 +6 31
8 Villarreal 20 7 8 5 +11 29
9 Ath Bilbao 21 6 10 5 +3 28
10 Valencia 20 7 7 6 +0 28
11 Espanol 20 7 5 8 -1 26
12 Osasuna 20 6 7 7 -5 25
13 Granada 20 5 9 6 -3 24
14 Celta 20 6 5 9 -1 23
15 Mallorca 20 4 8 8 -13 20
16 Elche 20 4 7 9 -8 19
17 Getafe 20 4 6 10 -8 18
18 Alaves 20 4 5 11 -14 17
19 Cadiz 20 2 8 10 -19 14
20 Levante 20 1 8 11 -20 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Elche Villarreal
Gonzalo Verdú 🟨
10′
Half-time 0–0
L. Boyé 🔁
↦ Lucas Pérez
66′
69′
🔁 N. Jackson
↦ Moi Gómez
75′
🔁 Pedraza
↦ P. Estupiñán
75′
🔁 Mario Gaspar
↦ J. Foyth
Josan Ferrández 🔁
↦ Tete Morente
76′
1–0 L. Boyé
Gumbau
78′
81′
🟨 Dani Parejo
I. Marcone 🔁
↦ Gumbau
84′
85′
🔁 Iborra
↦ Dani Parejo
85′
🔁 Dani Raba
↦ Alberto Moreno
Johan Mojica 🟨
87′
Diego Gonzalez 🟨
93′
93′
🟨 Étienne Capoue
Pere Milla 🟨
94′
94′
🟨 Vicente Iborra
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Elche

4-4-2
13 Edgar Badia G
19 Barragán D
22 J. Mojica D
5 Gonzalo Verdú D
4 Diego González D
21 Omar Mascarell M
2 Gumbau M
12 Lucas Pérez F
7 G. Carrillo F
10 Pere Milla M
11 Tete Morente M
Bench (10)
9 L. Boyé
17 Josan Ferrández
23 I. Marcone
29 Diego Bri
26 John Nwankwo
24 Josema Sánchez
15 J. Pastore
8 Raúl Guti
28 Lluís Andreu
25 A. Werner

Coach: Francisco

Villarreal

4-4-2
13 G. Rulli G
3 Albiol D
18 Alberto Moreno M
12 P. Estupiñán D
4 Pau Torres D
8 J. Foyth D
6 E. Capoue M
5 Dani Parejo M
23 Moi Gómez M
21 Yeremi Pino F
7 Gerard Moreno F
Bench (11)
26 N. Jackson
24 Pedraza
2 Mario Gaspar
10 Iborra
17 Dani Raba
38 Carlo Adriano
1 Asenjo
39 Antonio Pacheco
35 F. Jörgensen
28 N. Iosifov
27 Adrián de la Fuente

Coach: Unai Emery

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
4,66
U
3,72
B
1,78
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,90
U2,5 ✓
1,92
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Valentín Pizarro · 73 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.