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Eredivisie

Referee: S Gözübüyük

Utrecht

S T U U U

0–3

Full-time

Ajax

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Ajax

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

1,0

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

2,5

3,5

Scored

1,0

3,2

Conceded

1,5

0,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+2,8

This season — Eredivisie · 17/18 matches

Win Ø 60%

47%

72%

Points per game

1,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

65%

56%

Both score Ø 35%

59%

11%

Average goals

3,1

3,3

Scored

1,9

3,1

Conceded

1,2

0,2

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+2,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

32% Possession 68%

10 Shots 8

1 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 0

4 Offside 4

15 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Utrecht 6. · Ajax 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	18	14	1	3	+22	43
2	Ajax	18	13	3	2	+52	42
3	Feyenoord	19	12	3	4	+24	39
4	Twente	19	10	5	4	+8	35
5	Vitesse	17	10	2	5	+0	32
6	Utrecht	17	8	5	4	+11	29
7	AZ Alkmaar	16	9	1	6	+10	28
8	Cambuur	18	9	1	8	-7	28
9	Nijmegen	19	7	5	7	-2	26
10	Heerenveen	18	7	4	7	-5	25
11	Go Ahead Eagles	19	6	3	10	-12	21
12	Heracles	19	5	4	10	-5	19
13	Groningen	18	4	7	7	-7	19
14	Waalwijk	19	4	7	8	-9	19
15	Willem II	19	5	3	11	-20	18
16	Sparta Rotterdam	18	2	7	9	-12	13
17	For Sittard	18	3	4	11	-27	13
18	Zwolle	19	2	3	14	-21	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	9	8	0	1	+15	24
2	Ajax	10	7	1	2	+35	22
3	Feyenoord	10	7	1	2	+14	22
4	AZ Alkmaar	9	7	1	1	+14	22
5	Utrecht	9	6	3	0	+16	21
6	Twente	9	5	3	1	+6	18
7	Heracles	10	5	2	3	+3	17
8	Go Ahead Eagles	10	4	0	6	-2	12
9	Cambuur	9	4	0	5	-3	12
10	Heerenveen	9	3	2	4	-4	11
11	Vitesse	7	3	1	3	-4	10
12	Waalwijk	9	3	1	5	-8	10
13	Willem II	9	3	1	5	-8	10
14	Groningen	8	1	6	1	+1	9
15	Nijmegen	9	2	3	4	-1	9
16	Sparta Rotterdam	10	1	5	4	-5	8
17	Zwolle	10	2	2	6	-5	8
18	For Sittard	8	2	2	4	-11	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vitesse	10	7	1	2	+4	22
2	Ajax	8	6	2	0	+17	20
3	PSV Eindhoven	9	6	1	2	+7	19
4	Feyenoord	9	5	2	2	+10	17
5	Twente	10	5	2	3	+2	17
6	Nijmegen	10	5	2	3	-1	17
7	Cambuur	9	5	1	3	-4	16
8	Heerenveen	9	4	2	3	-1	14
9	Groningen	10	3	1	6	-8	10
10	Waalwijk	10	1	6	3	-1	9
11	Go Ahead Eagles	9	2	3	4	-10	9
12	Utrecht	8	2	2	4	-5	8
13	Willem II	10	2	2	6	-12	8
14	AZ Alkmaar	7	2	0	5	-4	6
15	Sparta Rotterdam	8	1	2	5	-7	5
16	For Sittard	10	1	2	7	-16	5
17	Heracles	9	0	2	7	-8	2
18	Zwolle	9	0	1	8	-16	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.