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Serie A

Referee: L Maggioni

Roma

S S U T T

1–0

Full-time

Cagliari

T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Cagliari

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,8

3,0

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

2,0

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,3

This season — Serie A · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 31%

48%

14%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

57%

62%

Both score Ø 57%

52%

62%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%

15 Shots 8

7 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

1 Corners 1

2 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 17

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Roma 7. · Cagliari 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	20	15	4	1	+35	49
2	Milan	21	15	3	3	+23	48
3	Napoli	21	13	4	4	+22	43
4	Atalanta	20	12	5	3	+18	41
5	Juventus	22	12	5	5	+13	41
6	Lazio	22	10	5	7	+7	35
7	Roma	21	10	2	9	+7	32
8	Fiorentina	20	10	2	8	+5	32
9	Torino	21	9	4	8	+9	31
10	Verona	22	8	6	8	+4	30
11	Empoli	22	8	5	9	-8	29
12	Sassuolo	22	7	7	8	+1	28
13	Bologna	20	8	3	9	-5	27
14	Udinese	20	4	8	8	-8	20
15	Sampdoria	22	5	5	12	-11	20
16	Spezia	21	5	4	12	-20	19
17	Venezia	21	4	6	11	-19	18
18	Cagliari	21	3	7	11	-21	16
19	Genoa	21	1	9	11	-19	12
20	Salernitana	20	3	2	15	-33	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	10	8	2	0	+20	26
2	Torino	11	7	2	2	+13	23
3	Napoli	11	7	1	3	+11	22
4	Milan	10	7	1	2	+10	22
5	Lazio	10	6	3	1	+12	21
6	Juventus	11	6	2	3	+6	20
7	Roma	11	6	2	3	+4	20
8	Fiorentina	9	6	1	2	+11	19
9	Verona	11	5	2	4	+5	17
10	Bologna	10	5	1	4	+2	16
11	Sassuolo	12	3	4	5	-4	13
12	Atalanta	9	3	3	3	+3	12
13	Udinese	10	2	5	3	-5	11
14	Cagliari	11	2	4	5	-6	10
15	Empoli	11	3	1	7	-12	10
16	Spezia	10	2	3	5	-3	9
17	Venezia	11	2	3	6	-8	9
18	Sampdoria	12	2	3	7	-9	9
19	Genoa	10	0	4	6	-10	4
20	Salernitana	10	1	1	8	-19	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Atalanta	11	9	2	0	+15	29
2	Milan	11	8	2	1	+13	26
3	Inter	10	7	2	1	+15	23
4	Napoli	10	6	3	1	+11	21
5	Juventus	11	6	3	2	+7	21
6	Empoli	11	5	4	2	+4	19
7	Sassuolo	10	4	3	3	+5	15
8	Lazio	12	4	2	6	-5	14
9	Verona	11	3	4	4	-1	13
10	Fiorentina	11	4	1	6	-6	13
11	Roma	10	4	0	6	+3	12
12	Sampdoria	10	3	2	5	-2	11
13	Bologna	10	3	2	5	-7	11
14	Spezia	11	3	1	7	-17	10
15	Udinese	10	2	3	5	-3	9
16	Venezia	10	2	3	5	-11	9
17	Torino	10	2	2	6	-4	8
18	Genoa	11	1	5	5	-9	8
19	Salernitana	10	2	1	7	-14	7
20	Cagliari	10	1	3	6	-15	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.