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Bundesliga
Referee: B Cortus
Hertha
S S T T S
1–0
Full-time
M'gladbach
S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha M'gladbach
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,0
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
2,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 38%
38%
38%
Points per game
1,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 69%
75%
63%
Average goals
3,9
2,6
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
2,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,4
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%
10 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 6
3 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 21
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hertha 13. · M'gladbach 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 9 7 1 1 +25 22
2 Dortmund 9 7 0 2 +10 21
3 Freiburg 9 5 4 0 +8 19
4 Leverkusen 8 5 1 2 +9 16
5 Union Berlin 8 4 3 1 +3 15
6 RB Leipzig 9 4 2 3 +11 14
7 Mainz 9 4 1 4 +3 13
8 Wolfsburg 9 4 1 4 -3 13
9 FC Koln 8 3 3 2 -1 12
10 Hoffenheim 9 3 2 4 +2 11
11 M'gladbach 8 3 2 3 -1 11
12 Stuttgart 8 2 3 3 -1 9
13 Hertha 8 3 0 5 -11 9
14 Ein Frankfurt 8 1 5 2 -3 8
15 Bochum 8 2 1 5 -11 7
16 Augsburg 9 1 3 5 -13 6
17 Bielefeld 9 0 5 4 -9 5
18 Greuther Furth 9 0 1 8 -18 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hertha M'gladbach
2′
🟨 Jordan Beyer
9′
ℹ️ Joseph Scally
VAR: Penalty confirmed
1–0 M. Richter
40′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 A. Pléa
↦ L. Stindl
46′
🔁 F. Neuhaus
↦ L. Netz
Vladimír Darida 🟨
54′
J. Ekkelenkamp 🔁
↦ V. Darida
61′
M. Maolida 🔁
↦ M. Richter
61′
D. Selke 🔁
↦ K. Piątek
74′
74′
🔁 P. Herrmann
↦ K. Koné
77′
🟨 Joseph Scally
L. Tousart 🔁
↦ M. Dárdai
80′
L. Gechter 🔁
↦ S. Serdar
80′
Santiago Ascacibar 🟨
94′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Hertha

4-2-3-1
1 A. Schwolow G
2 P. Pekarík D
21 M. Plattenhardt D
4 D. Boyata D
17 M. Mittelstädt M
31 M. Dárdai D
6 V. Darida M
8 S. Serdar M
18 S. Ascacíbar M
9 K. Piątek F
23 M. Richter M
Bench (9)
10 J. Ekkelenkamp
11 M. Maolida
7 D. Selke
29 L. Tousart
44 L. Gechter
32 O. Christensen
27 K. Boateng
19 S. Jovetić
14 I. Belfodil

Coach: P. Dárdai

M'gladbach

3-4-1-2
1 Y. Sommer G
30 N. Elvedi D
25 R. Bensebaïni D
15 L. Beyer D
29 J. Scally M
20 L. Netz M
13 L. Stindl F
23 J. Hofmann F
8 D. Zakaria M
17 K. Koné M
36 B. Embolo F
Bench (9)
14 A. Pléa
32 F. Neuhaus
7 P. Herrmann
11 H. Wolf
37 K. Bennetts
34 C. Noß
21 T. Sippel
24 T. Jantschke
22 L. Bénes

Coach: A. Hütter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,72
U
3,63
B
1,99
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,77
U2,5 ✓
2,07
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Cortus · 53 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.