Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Ein Frankfurt
Bayern Munich
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern Munich
|
23 | 18 | 1 | 4 | +48 | 55 |
| 2 |
Dortmund
|
23 | 16 | 1 | 6 | +27 | 49 |
| 3 |
Leverkusen
|
24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | +24 | 44 |
| 4 |
Freiburg
|
24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | +13 | 40 |
| 5 |
Hoffenheim
|
24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | +11 | 40 |
| 6 |
RB Leipzig
|
23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | +21 | 37 |
| 7 |
Union Berlin
|
24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | +0 | 37 |
| 8 |
FC Koln
|
24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | -2 | 36 |
| 9 |
Mainz
|
24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | +6 | 34 |
| 10 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | -2 | 31 |
| 11 |
Bochum
|
23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | -8 | 29 |
| 12 |
Wolfsburg
|
24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | -11 | 28 |
| 13 |
M'gladbach
|
24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | -16 | 27 |
| 14 |
Bielefeld
|
24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | -10 | 25 |
| 15 |
Hertha
|
24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | -29 | 23 |
| 16 |
Augsburg
|
23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -15 | 22 |
| 17 |
Stuttgart
|
24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -17 | 19 |
| 18 |
Greuther Furth
|
24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | -40 | 14 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
K. Trapp
G
D. da Costa
M
O. N'Dicka
D
F. Kostić
F
D. Sow
M
J. Lindstrøm
F
A. Knauff
F
Coach: O. Glasner
S. Ulreich
G
L. Hernández
D
B. Pavard
M
D. Upamecano
D
M. Sabitzer
M
S. Gnabry
F
J. Kimmich
M
J. Musiala
F
Coach: J. Nagelsmann
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
FC Koln
Ein Frankfurt
Ein Frankfurt
Wolfsburg
Stuttgart
Ein Frankfurt
Ein Frankfurt
Bielefeld
Augsburg
Ein Frankfurt
F Badstübner · 96 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.