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Bundesliga
Referee: S Storks
Heidenheim
U U S T U
1–2
Full-time
Ein Frankfurt
U U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heidenheim Ein Frankfurt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 33%
30%
35%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
57%
52%
Both score Ø 66%
70%
61%
Average goals
3,2
2,9
Scored
1,4
1,6
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,05 xG 1,15
58% Possession 42%
16 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heidenheim 10. · Ein Frankfurt 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Leverkusen 23 19 4 0 +43 +26.1 61
2 Bayern Munich 24 17 3 4 +37 +41.4 54
3 Stuttgart 23 15 2 6 +23 +26.0 47
4 Dortmund 23 11 8 4 +16 +9.5 41
5 RB Leipzig 23 12 4 7 +19 +15.7 40
6 Ein Frankfurt 23 8 10 5 +6 -4.7 34
7 Hoffenheim 23 8 6 9 -2 -2.1 30
8 Werder Bremen 23 8 6 9 -3 -6.4 30
9 Freiburg 24 8 6 10 -12 -0.6 30
10 Heidenheim 23 7 7 9 -7 -19.1 28
11 Augsburg 23 6 8 9 -8 -6.1 26
12 M'gladbach 23 6 7 10 -4 -4.9 25
13 Wolfsburg 23 6 7 10 -8 -2.7 25
14 Union Berlin 23 7 4 12 -14 -7.6 25
15 Bochum 23 5 10 8 -18 -16.1 25
16 FC Koln 23 3 8 12 -21 -24.0 17
17 Mainz 23 2 9 12 -19 -0.8 15
18 Darmstadt 23 2 7 14 -28 -23.5 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heidenheim Ein Frankfurt
25′
🟨 Junior Dina Ebimbe
31′
🟨 Robin Koch
39′
B. Gimber 1–0
own goal
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 H. Ekitike
↦ P. Max
46′
🔁 H. Larsson
↦ J. Dina Ebimbe
49′
N. Nkounkou 1–1
Tuta
N. Theuerkauf 🔁
↦ B. Gimber
54′
A. Beck 🔁
↦ M. Busch
54′
M. Pieringer 🔁
↦ K. Sessa
54′
2–1 M. Pieringer
E. Dinkçi
59′
Eren Dinkçi 🟨
62′
66′
🔁 E. Skhiri
↦ R. Koch
S. Schimmer 🔁
↦ N. Dovedan
72′
77′
🟨 Hugo Ekitiké
79′
🔁 M. Götze
↦ Omar Marmoush
F. Pick 🔁
↦ E. Dinkçi
85′
85′
🔁 H. Smolčić
↦ A. Knauff
86′
🟨 Kevin Trapp
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Heidenheim

4-2-3-1
1 K. Müller G
2 M. Busch D
6 P. Mainka D
5 B. Gimber D
19 J. Föhrenbach D
3 J. Schöppner M
16 K. Sessa M
23 O. Traoré M
20 N. Dovedan M
8 E. Dinkçi M
10 T. Kleindienst F
Bench (9)
30 N. Theuerkauf
21 A. Beck
18 M. Pieringer
9 S. Schimmer
17 F. Pick
11 D. Thomalla
36 L. Janeš
40 F. Feller
4 T. Siersleben

Coach: F. Schmidt

Ein Frankfurt

4-4-2
1 K. Trapp G
24 Aurélio Buta D
4 R. Koch D
3 W. Pacho D
31 P. Max D
36 A. Knauff M
35 Tuta M
26 J. Dina Ebimbe M
29 N. Nkounkou M
8 F. Chaïbi F
7 Omar Marmoush F
Bench (9)
11 H. Ekitike
16 H. Larsson
15 E. Skhiri
27 M. Götze
5 H. Smolčić
25 D. van de Beek
33 J. Grahl
19 J. Bahoya
22 T. Chandler

Coach: D. Toppmöller

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,80
U
3,39
B ✓
2,56
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,90
U2,5
1,93
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Storks · 54 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.