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La Liga
Referee: Antonio Mateu
Ath Madrid
U S U U S
2–0
Full-time
Betis
S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Betis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
0,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,3
This season — La Liga · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
25%
50%
Both score Ø 21%
25%
17%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
0,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,8
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

40% Possession 60%
13 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 5
3 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Ath Madrid 10. · Betis 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 6 4 1 1 +5 13
2 Sociedad 6 3 2 1 +8 11
3 Villarreal 6 3 2 1 +0 11
4 Osasuna 6 3 1 2 +2 10
5 Getafe 5 3 1 1 +2 10
6 Elche 5 3 1 1 +1 10
7 Cadiz 6 3 1 2 +0 10
8 Granada 5 3 1 1 -1 10
9 Betis 6 3 0 3 -2 9
10 Ath Madrid 4 2 2 0 +7 8
11 Eibar 7 2 2 3 -1 8
12 Barcelona 5 2 1 2 +4 7
13 Sevilla 5 2 1 2 +1 7
14 Valencia 7 2 1 4 -2 7
15 Ath Bilbao 6 2 0 4 -2 6
16 Huesca 6 0 5 1 -2 5
17 Celta 6 1 2 3 -6 5
18 Alaves 6 1 1 4 -5 4
19 Valladolid 6 0 3 3 -4 3
20 Levante 5 1 0 4 -5 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ath Madrid Betis
Luis Suárez 🟨
41′
Half-time 0–0
Y. Carrasco 🔁
↦ L. Torreira
46′
H. Herrera 🔁
↦ T. Lemar
46′
1–0 Llorente
Hermoso
46′
Koke 🟨
50′
João Félix 🔁
↦ Á. Correa
57′
65′
🔁 Loren Morón
↦ William Carvalho
65′
🔁 Joaquín
↦ Tello
74′
🟥 Martín Montoya
Renan Lodi 🔁
↦ Hermoso
77′
80′
🔁 Borja Iglesias
↦ A. Sanabria
80′
🔁 Víctor Ruíz
↦ G. Rodríguez
Vitolo 🔁
↦ Y. Carrasco
83′
2–0 L. Suárez
Renan Lodi
91′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Ath Madrid

4-4-2
13 J. Oblak G
15 S. Savić D
23 K. Trippier D
18 Felipe D
22 Hermoso D
6 Koke M
11 T. Lemar M
14 Llorente F
5 L. Torreira M
9 L. Suárez F
10 Á. Correa M
Bench (12)
21 Y. Carrasco
16 H. Herrera
7 João Félix
12 Renan Lodi
20 Vitolo
17 I. Šaponjić
27 Sergio Camello
28 Álvaro García
35 J. Sanabria
29 Ricard Sánchez
1 I. Grbić
2 J. Giménez

Coach: D. Simeone

Betis

4-2-3-1
25 C. Bravo G
23 A. Mandi D
5 Marc Bartra D
2 Martín Montoya D
15 Álex Moreno D
10 Canales M
14 William Carvalho M
21 G. Rodríguez M
11 Tello M
8 N. Fekir M
19 A. Sanabria F
Bench (11)
16 Loren Morón
17 Joaquín
9 Borja Iglesias
6 Víctor Ruíz
30 Dani Rebollo
1 Joel Robles
28 Rodri
20 D. Lainez
33 Juan Miranda
32 Fran Delgado
4 P. Akouokou

Coach: M. Pellegrini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,58
U
3,98
B
6,18
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,07
U2,5 ✓
1,76
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Antonio Mateu · 160 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.