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La Liga

Referee: Mario Melero

Ath Madrid

S S S S S

4–1

Full-time

Alaves

T U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Alaves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

0,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,7

This season — La Liga · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 36%

55%

17%

Points per game

1,9

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

66%

45%

Both score Ø 52%

59%

45%

Average goals

3,1

2,4

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%

14 Shots 7

8 Shots on target 1

1 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 2

3 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Madrid 4. · Alaves 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	30	21	6	3	+35	69
2	Sevilla	29	15	12	2	+21	57
3	Barcelona	28	15	9	4	+27	54
4	Ath Madrid	29	16	6	7	+17	54
5	Betis	29	15	5	9	+15	50
6	Sociedad	29	13	9	7	+0	48
7	Villarreal	30	12	9	9	+19	45
8	Ath Bilbao	29	10	11	8	+5	41
9	Valencia	29	10	10	9	-1	40
10	Osasuna	29	10	8	11	-7	38
11	Celta	30	9	9	12	+0	36
12	Espanol	29	9	9	11	-6	36
13	Vallecano	28	9	5	14	-5	32
14	Getafe	30	7	11	12	-5	32
15	Elche	29	8	8	13	-10	32
16	Granada	29	6	10	13	-15	28
17	Cadiz	29	5	12	12	-16	27
18	Mallorca	30	6	8	16	-24	26
19	Levante	30	4	10	16	-25	22
20	Alaves	29	5	7	17	-25	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	15	10	4	1	+19	34
2	Sevilla	14	10	4	0	+17	34
3	Villarreal	15	9	4	2	+21	31
4	Ath Madrid	14	9	3	2	+12	30
5	Barcelona	13	9	2	2	+18	29
6	Espanol	15	8	4	3	+6	28
7	Sociedad	14	8	4	2	+5	28
8	Vallecano	15	8	3	4	+10	27
9	Betis	15	8	2	5	+9	26
10	Getafe	15	7	4	4	+7	25
11	Ath Bilbao	14	7	3	4	+8	24
12	Valencia	14	5	6	3	+4	21
13	Elche	14	5	5	4	+1	20
14	Celta	16	5	4	7	+0	19
15	Mallorca	15	4	6	5	-4	18
16	Osasuna	15	4	6	5	-6	18
17	Levante	15	3	7	5	-3	16
18	Granada	14	4	4	6	-5	16
19	Alaves	15	4	4	7	-6	16
20	Cadiz	15	2	8	5	-6	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	15	11	2	2	+16	35
2	Barcelona	15	6	7	2	+9	25
3	Betis	14	7	3	4	+6	24
4	Ath Madrid	15	7	3	5	+5	24
5	Sevilla	15	5	8	2	+4	23
6	Osasuna	14	6	2	6	-1	20
7	Sociedad	15	5	5	5	-5	20
8	Valencia	15	5	4	6	-5	19
9	Celta	14	4	5	5	+0	17
10	Ath Bilbao	15	3	8	4	-3	17
11	Villarreal	15	3	5	7	-2	14
12	Cadiz	14	3	4	7	-10	13
13	Granada	15	2	6	7	-10	12
14	Elche	15	3	3	9	-11	12
15	Espanol	14	1	5	8	-12	8
16	Mallorca	15	2	2	11	-20	8
17	Getafe	15	0	7	8	-12	7
18	Alaves	14	1	3	10	-19	6
19	Levante	15	1	3	11	-22	6
20	Vallecano	13	1	2	10	-15	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.