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La Liga
Referee: Jesús Gil
Villarreal
S U U T S
2–0
Full-time
Sociedad
U T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Sociedad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,2
1,2
Scored
1,5
0,5
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 50%
46%
54%
Points per game
1,6
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
38%
31%
Both score Ø 41%
35%
46%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
0,9
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,71 xG 0,98
52% Possession 48%
16 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 4
4 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 19
5 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Villarreal 6. · Sociedad 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Barcelona 27 23 2 2 +44 +7.9 71
2 Real Madrid 27 18 5 4 +36 +13.4 59
3 Ath Madrid 26 15 6 5 +23 +7.5 51
4 Sociedad 26 14 6 6 +11 +2.3 48
5 Betis 26 13 6 7 +8 +4.1 45
6 Villarreal 26 12 5 9 +8 +3.3 41
7 Ath Bilbao 27 10 7 10 +8 +1.4 37
8 Vallecano 26 9 9 8 +1 -0.2 36
9 Celta 27 9 8 10 -3 +2.6 35
10 Osasuna 27 9 8 10 -5 -8.1 35
11 Girona 27 9 7 11 +0 -2.6 34
12 Mallorca 27 9 6 12 -5 -3.5 33
13 Sevilla 27 8 7 12 -11 +3.2 31
14 Getafe 27 7 9 11 -7 +0.2 30
15 Cadiz 27 6 10 11 -19 -3.3 28
16 Valladolid 27 8 4 15 -24 -11.7 28
17 Espanol 27 6 9 12 -11 -1.1 27
18 Almeria 27 7 6 14 -15 -3.8 27
19 Valencia 26 7 5 14 -3 -4.0 26
20 Elche 27 2 7 18 -36 -7.6 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Villarreal Sociedad
Ramón Terrats 🟨
26′
27′
🟨 Igor Zubeldia
Half-time 0–0
Pepe Reina 🟨
53′
N. Jackson 🔁
↦ Ramón Terrats
62′
G. Lo Celso 🔁
↦ José Luis Morales
62′
Juan Foyth 🟨
65′
70′
🔁 Mikel Oyarzabal
↦ A. Sørloth
71′
🔁 M. Cho
↦ T. Kubo
Alberto Moreno 🔁
↦ Pedraza
72′
75′
🟨 Martín Zubimendi
76′
🟨 David Silva
1–0 Dani Parejo
77′
2–0 N. Jackson
Yeremy Pino
81′
Nicolas Jackson 🟨
82′
84′
🔁 Álex Sola
↦ Gorosabel
Jorge Cuenca 🔁
↦ Pau Torres
85′
Manu Trigueros 🔁
↦ Álex Baena
85′
85′
🔁 Illarramendi
↦ Mikel Merino
85′
🔁 Barrenetxea
↦ David Silva
Nicolas Jackson 🟨
91′
Nicolas Jackson 🟥
91′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Villarreal

4-3-3
1 Pepe Reina G
8 J. Foyth D
23 A. Mandi D
4 Pau Torres D
24 Pedraza D
39 Ramón Terrats M
10 Dani Parejo M
16 Álex Baena M
11 S. Chukwueze F
22 José Luis Morales F
21 Yeremy Pino F
Bench (9)
15 N. Jackson
17 G. Lo Celso
18 Alberto Moreno
5 Jorge Cuenca
14 Manu Trigueros
35 F. Jörgensen
2 Kiko Femenía
12 J. Mojica
40 H. Hassan

Coach: Quique Setién

Sociedad

4-1-3-2
1 Álex Remiro G
18 Gorosabel D
5 Zubeldia D
24 R. Le Normand D
12 Aihen Muñoz D
3 Martín Zubimendi M
23 Brais Méndez M
21 David Silva M
8 Mikel Merino M
19 A. Sørloth F
14 T. Kubo F
Bench (12)
10 Mikel Oyarzabal
11 M. Cho
2 Álex Sola
4 Illarramendi
7 Barrenetxea
22 Beñat Turrientes
17 Robert Navarro
6 Elustondo
13 Andoni Zubiaurre
15 Diego Rico
16 Guevara
20 Jon Pacheco

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,40
U
3,21
B
3,16
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,22
U2,5 ✓
1,68
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jesús Gil · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.