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Süper Lig
Referee: H Meler
Fenerbahce
S S T S S
2–4
Full-time
Besiktas
T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Besiktas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,7
This season — Süper Lig · 24/25 matches
Win Ø 64%
71%
56%
Points per game
2,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
71%
56%
Both score Ø 55%
50%
60%
Average goals
3,6
2,8
Scored
2,5
1,8
Conceded
1,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

65% Possession 35%
21 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 2
1 Offside 4
16 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Fenerbahce 2. · Besiktas 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Galatasaray 26 20 3 3 +35 63
2 Fenerbahce 24 17 3 4 +35 54
3 Besiktas 25 14 7 4 +20 49
4 Ad. Demirspor 26 12 9 5 +18 45
5 Trabzonspor 26 13 5 8 +9 44
6 Buyuksehyr 25 13 5 7 +9 44
7 Kayserispor 26 13 2 11 +4 41
8 Konyaspor 26 8 11 7 +2 35
9 Karagumruk 24 7 10 7 +4 31
10 Sivasspor 26 8 6 12 -4 30
11 Kasimpasa 26 8 5 13 -10 29
12 Alanyaspor 26 7 8 11 -11 29
13 Antalyaspor 25 8 4 13 -8 28
14 Ümraniyespor 27 6 8 13 -7 26
15 Ankaragücü 25 7 4 14 -11 25
16 Gaziantep 27 6 7 14 -14 25
17 Giresunspor 25 5 9 11 -19 24
18 İstanbulspor 24 7 3 14 -21 24
19 Hatayspor 25 6 5 14 -31 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fenerbahce Besiktas
11′
🔁 Welinton
↦ T. Sanuç
28′
🟨 Welinton
Samet Akaydin 🟨
30′
30′
🟨 Vincent Aboubakar
Mert Hakan Yandaş 🟨
37′
1–0 E. Valencia
41′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 A. Maxim
↦ R. Ghezzal
46′
🔁 N. Redmond
↦ A. Hadžiahmetović
47′
🟨 Omar Colley
51′
🟨 Welinton
51′
🟥 Welinton
Bright Osayi-Samuel 🟨
52′
55′
🔁 N. Uysal
↦ Gedson Fernandes
58′
C. Tosun 1–1
N. Redmond
62′
C. Tosun 1–2
N. Redmond
D. Rossi 🔁
↦ M. Yandaş
63′
M. Zajc 🔁
↦ B. Osayi-Samuel
63′
E. Mor 🔁
↦ S. Aziz
69′
75′
🟨 Alexandru Maxim
75′
N. Redmond 1–3
S. Uçan
İ. Kahveci 🔁
↦ A. Güler
76′
S. Dursun 🔁
↦ João Pedro
77′
91′
V. Aboubakar 1–4
N. Redmond
94′
🔁 T. Bingöl
↦ C. Tosun
2–4 İ. Kahveci
M. Zajc
95′
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Fenerbahce

3-5-2
1 A. Bayındır G
4 S. Aziz D
3 S. Akaydin D
41 A. Szalai D
21 B. Osayi-Samuel M
8 M. Yandaş M
10 A. Güler M
5 Willian Arão M
7 F. Kadıoğlu M
20 João Pedro F
13 E. Valencia F
Bench (10)
9 D. Rossi
26 M. Zajc
99 E. Mor
17 İ. Kahveci
19 S. Dursun
80 İ. Yüksek
6 E. Alioski
2 Gustavo Henrique
70 İ. Eğribayat
27 Miguel Crespo

Coach: Jorge Jesus

Besiktas

4-1-4-1
34 M. Günok G
4 O. Bulut D
3 T. Sanuç D
6 O. Colley D
25 A. Masuaku D
19 A. Hadžiahmetović M
18 R. Ghezzal M
8 S. Uçan M
83 Gedson Fernandes M
9 C. Tosun M
10 V. Aboubakar F
Bench (10)
23 Welinton
44 A. Maxim
15 N. Redmond
20 N. Uysal
88 T. Bingöl
1 E. Destanoğlu
77 U. Meraş
22 B. Vardar
40 J. Muleka
17 K. Kesgin

Coach: Ş. Güneş

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,85
U
3,79
B ✓
3,89
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,67
U2,5
2,18
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

H Meler · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.