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Eredivisie
Referee: S van der Eijk
0–0
Full-time
Ajax
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Go Ahead Eagles Ajax
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,7
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
This season — Eredivisie · 25/26 matches
Win Ø 45%
28%
62%
Points per game
1,2
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
52%
69%
Both score Ø 67%
64%
69%
Average goals
3,2
3,8
Scored
1,4
2,8
Conceded
1,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

31% Possession 69%
5 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Go Ahead Eagles 11. · Ajax 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 26 18 7 1 +34 61
2 PSV Eindhoven 27 17 5 5 +38 56
3 Ajax 26 16 7 3 +44 55
4 AZ Alkmaar 27 16 6 5 +22 54
5 Twente 24 13 7 4 +23 46
6 Sparta Rotterdam 23 13 6 4 +19 45
7 Waalwijk 26 9 8 9 +1 35
8 Nijmegen 27 7 13 7 +7 34
9 Utrecht 24 8 8 8 -4 32
10 Heerenveen 25 8 7 10 -6 31
11 Go Ahead Eagles 25 7 8 10 -8 29
12 For Sittard 26 8 5 13 -14 29
13 Volendam 26 7 5 14 -25 26
14 Vitesse 27 5 9 13 -17 24
15 FC Emmen 27 5 9 13 -21 24
16 Excelsior 27 7 3 17 -36 24
17 Groningen 26 4 5 17 -27 17
18 Cambuur 27 4 4 19 -30 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Go Ahead Eagles Ajax
7′
🟨 Edson Álvarez
Half-time 0–0
Jamal Amofa 🟨
51′
O. Edvardsen 🔁
↦ F. Stokkers
68′
69′
🔁 O. Wijndal
↦ Y. Baas
69′
🔁 S. Bergwijn
↦ B. Brobbey
José Fontán 🔁
↦ F. Oppegård
80′
80′
🔁 Francisco Conceição
↦ S. Berghuis
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen 🟨
87′
87′
🔁 L. Lucca
↦ J. Sánchez
B. Kuipers 🔁
↦ B. Adekanye
91′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Go Ahead Eagles

4-4-2
1 J. de Lange G
2 M. Deijl D
25 J. Amofa D
3 G. Nauber D
26 F. Oppegård D
18 W. Willumsson M
6 J. Idzes M
10 P. Rommens M
11 B. Adekanye M
27 F. Stokkers F
9 I. Lidberg F
Bench (12)
23 O. Edvardsen
4 José Fontán
5 B. Kuipers
8 E. Linthorst
17 Darío Serra
33 F. Mattiello
7 R. Fernandes
40 L. Plogmann
19 S. Sow
22 E. Mulder
20 X. Blomme
21 E. Llansana

Coach: R. Hake

Ajax

4-3-3
12 G. Rulli G
19 J. Sánchez D
2 J. Timber D
4 E. Álvarez D
25 Y. Baas D
23 S. Berghuis M
8 K. Taylor M
6 D. Klaassen M
20 M. Kudus F
9 B. Brobbey F
10 D. Tadić F
Bench (11)
5 O. Wijndal
7 S. Bergwijn
35 Francisco Conceição
18 L. Lucca
21 F. Grillitsch
28 K. Fitz-Jim
1 M. Stekelenburg
22 R. Pasveer
26 Y. Regeer
3 C. Bassey
57 J. Hato

Coach: J. Heitinga

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
8,05
U ✓
5,24
B
1,34
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,53
U2,5 ✓
2,44
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S van der Eijk · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.