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La Liga
Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano
Sevilla
T U T T T
1–2
Full-time
Girona
U T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Girona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
5,0
2,5
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
3,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,47 xG 1,38
51% Possession 49%
21 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 6
4 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sevilla 20. · Girona 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Real Madrid 3 3 0 0 +5 +1.3 9
2 Vallecano 2 2 0 0 +4 +1.6 6
3 Valencia 2 2 0 0 +2 +1.4 6
4 Girona 2 1 1 0 +3 +0.9 4
5 Ath Madrid 2 1 1 0 +2 +1.1 4
6 Barcelona 2 1 1 0 +2 +3.2 4
7 Betis 2 1 1 0 +1 +0.5 4
8 Cadiz 3 1 1 1 -1 -0.6 4
9 Alaves 2 1 0 1 +0 +0.8 3
10 Ath Bilbao 2 1 0 1 +0 -0.3 3
11 Osasuna 2 1 0 1 +0 -0.3 3
12 Sociedad 3 0 3 0 +0 -0.5 3
13 Villarreal 2 1 0 1 +0 +1.4 3
14 Granada 3 1 0 2 -3 -3.6 3
15 Las Palmas 3 0 2 1 -1 -1.8 2
16 Mallorca 3 0 1 2 -2 +0.3 1
17 Celta 3 0 1 2 -3 +0.3 1
18 Getafe 2 0 1 1 -3 -1.6 1
19 Almeria 3 0 1 2 -4 -2.6 1
20 Sevilla 2 0 0 2 -2 -1.6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sevilla Girona
Kike Salas 🟨
-5′
16′
Yangel Herrera 0–1
37′
🟨 Arnau Martínez
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 Juanpe
↦ Yangel Herrera
1–1 Nemanja Gudelj
47′
56′
Aleix García 1–2
Arnau Martínez
Lucas Ocampos 🟨
58′
Ivan Rakitić ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
62′
63′
🔁 Artem Dovbyk
↦ Cristhian Stuani
Erik Lamela 🔁
↦ Óliver Torres
71′
Rafa Mir 🔁
↦ Lucas Ocampos
75′
78′
🔁 Yan Couto
↦ Arnau Martínez
79′
🔁 Valery Fernández
↦ Viktor Tsygankov
Ivan Rakitić ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
90′
Jesús Corona 🔁
↦ Adrià Pedrosa
90′
90′
🔁 Pablo Torre
↦ Sávio
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Sevilla

4-2-3-1
1 Marko Dmitrović G
16 Jesús Navas D
22 Loïc Badé D
6 Nemanja Gudelj D
3 Adrià Pedrosa D
18 Djibril Sow M
10 Ivan Rakitić M
7 Suso M
21 Óliver Torres M
5 Lucas Ocampos M
15 Youssef En-Nesyri F
Bench (12)
17 Erik Lamela
9 Rafa Mir
11 Jesús Corona
33 Matías Árbol
13 Ørjan Nyland
27 Kike Salas
2 Federico Gattoni
28 Manu Bueno
8 Joan Jordán
26 Juanlu Sánchez
24 Papu Gómez
12 Dodi Lukebakio

Coach: José Luis Mendilibar

Girona

4-1-4-1
13 Paulo Gazzaniga G
4 Arnau Martínez D
5 David López D
17 Daley Blind D
3 Miguel Gutiérrez D
14 Aleix García M
8 Viktor Tsygankov M
21 Yangel Herrera M
23 Iván Martín M
16 Sávio M
7 Cristhian Stuani F
Bench (12)
15 Juanpe
9 Artem Dovbyk
20 Yan Couto
11 Valery Fernández
18 Pablo Torre
1 Juan Carlos
26 Toni Fuidias
22 Santiago Bueno
2 Bernardo Espinosa
28 Silvi Clúa
6 Ibrahima Kébé
30 Iker Almena

Coach: Míchel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,08
U
3,48
B ✓
3,65
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,95
U2,5
1,89
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jesus Gil Manzano · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.